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I have been warning people for months. Commodities are about to resume the second leg of their rally. The Bloomberg Commodity Index broke out when it closed last month (Oct 31) at 107,30. It is now at 110 and rising

We're not far away from seeing what happens to speculative assets when financial conditions ease dramatically in a short space of time

The last time this happened was Q4 2023 and it was the easiest time to make money in the market as a bull. That time is once again edging closer with TLT about to break out. This will catalyse the climax of the cycle!

ETH 4h Rate of Change bearish retest highlighted in orange. Look for the 4h bull div to form to go long altcoins/ETH

$WM (WATCHLIST) - One of those boring but goes up long term plays because everyone has trash and they continue to lead the market. I think I'd still want it to go lower to feel good about buying but it's definitely on a discount and getting close to the trend line making it more appealing as a long term value play.

Still watching to see how low it wants to go and if it'll have good reaction.

I think there will probably be another sweep of the lows on TLT tomorrow. That would be the setup to go long imho - this is why speculative assets likely drop tomorrow too.

Super clean EW count here and expanded flat, should now have final wave 5

Look for 88-88.6 in golden pocket to go long

US Consumer spending habits demonstrates how even the middle class are now under financial strain.

BDL - Earnings today. Moved both hedges closer and converted to 1500 fly with 60 points wings. Max loss now minimal in this trade.

Happy Sunday everyone! Hope you all had a great weekend!

Time for the Sunday review. I haven't had time to create a master document and template format yet. I will get to it eventually.

Anyway. Been forumlating my ideas today and pouring through the charts in preparation for my substack publication and honestly, everything has become crystal clear. I'm going to present some of those ideas here. There are A LOT of trade setups for this week, so should be banger of a trading week in store with lots of volatility to take advantage of!

First of all, I probably jumped the gun ever so slightly in anticipation of the yen carry trade unwinding. Such is the nature of markets, it's all about timing! I'd ask you to read this analysis without a black or white perspective, we need to hold both bull and bear, risk on and risk off mentalities in our mind at the same time. Markets are complex organisms, nothing is as simple as it seems so I hope you can read between the lines of what I'm presenting.

JPYU

$ETH - Update on this chart. The timing of the Sunday pump might be making this a real possibility. I will always be looking for reasons to flip back bullish and this is looking better but it's still not looking good yet.

OBV is finding some support finally but now it has to reclaiming some support or break some resistances higher to really seal the deal.

Again just really wish this wasn't on a Sunday but if this can continue during the week then it might finally be the one that breaks the 6th week streak of Sunday pumps retracing.

South West Pinnacle Exploration Ltd : CMP : Rs.174

1) Excellent results for Sep qr'25

2) Sales up from 27 Cr to 64 Cr

3) Np up from 40 L to 8.36 Cr

4) Pref allot at 132.20 , where big stake is taken by Promoters.

5) Order Book of 412 Cr already there!

6) Excellent clientele list.

7) JV with Oman.

8) Into Mines and minerals..

Read Presentation at screener/ website and AR

Do your DD. Take your call.

$NEAR - Seeing momentum and chatter pick up on this one. Not one you need to chase if you've been playing the other ones shared. Some people might have missed those ones so giving some other opportunities.

Playing for 50% upside, good TA and still plays off privacy narrative and team is pretty active.

Ibrahim Traoré, leader in Burkina Faso:

It's not terrorism, it's imperialism. Their objective is to keep us in a permanent war, prevent us from developing, and continue to exploit our resources.

$ICP - Just another similar style play as the previous ones. Much easier to jump and join into the hype and play it for a few weeks then try to knife catch and time the other ones. This one might be more available on exchanges.

Again don't have to take these and sitting on hands is still a great strategy. This does just remind me a lot of last November where markets were looking bad and people all started pumping tokens like $XRP and $XLM and we see a little rally before a lot of things had a pullback.

I think the narrative is shifting away from memes which is why I can also be bearish on memes but still see some stupid money going to these other more established ones.

extended 5th, golden pocket lines up nicely with a retest of the wedge. will go long around 22.34

$ETH - It's going to be much more difficult trying to call a bottom and there are a lot of scenarios that can play out. That's why I was taking profits higher up so I can now be patient and react to what's happening.

Seems like we have a very clear range and I could see a rally that comes back up to the top of the channel or re-tests the break down. The only way I would get fully bullish again and eliminate that lower downside is for it to actually break out of the downtrend.

We could break down this support without touching the upside as well so not really a place I would be bidding aggressively. It's much easier to wait for confirmation without sweating it out worried about a breakdown.

I might start building the long position in BKKT this afternoon, daily looking exhausted and bull divs on all 3 indicators as it comes right into golden pocket (not shown)

It's the only one with a clean bottom imho

IWM ready to fall apart like I discussed earlier in the week - this ROC compression will inevitably lead to a big breakdown and here we are...

This is so bad short term, losing the trend channel in blue which has held since April. This shaekout should make everyone think its all over... but ultimately yields will collapse once this risk off move finishes next week. This is exactly like I've been speaking about, the crisis (yen carry trade) will be the catalyst for capital rotation into bonds, pushing yields lower, improving equity risk premium, and thus pushing capital further out on the risk curve into laggards like IWM and altcoins

Nearly there guys, this is going to be the optimal moment to position long in the most speculative assets, then we make bank into Xmas!

US layoffs, the highest since October 2003.

$DUSK - Just going to stick with the momentum and finding charts with strong fundamentals that are showing breaking out TAs and high volume pushes. Who knows how long these OG coin mania is going to last but it's worth playing when that's where the volume is.

Litecoin High Timeframe Video Update: 25 Mins

This 25-min video will walk you through everything I am seeing for Litecoin high timeframe technicals, bearish or bullish

I give my complete honest thoughts about everything I see from the monthly to the yearly across about a dozen indicators total

Give it a watch and let me know what you think

That was probably wave 1 and 2 for USDMXN, next round of liquidations and deleveraging incoming