$IOVA made after going to 5.63, is now at 4.10....which is again more the double.
Those who are holding should sell 50% , take the money out and keep rest for more return!!
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2. Oil Is a Coiled Spring
Wall Street agrees almost unanimously that oil inventories sit at record lows while the Strait of Hormuz stays shut, and that governments will rush to refill their reserves the moment it reopens.
The real tell hides in the futures curve, because near-term Brent has jumped toward $98 while the longer-dated contracts still sit near $85.
That means traders assume this whole crisis blows over quickly.
If it does not resolve, the squeeze runs hard and fast in the other direction.
We’re looking at Cheniere Energy (LNG)... as a major play in the growing demand for U.S. gas.
Plus, I’ll walk you through what’s happening with the MicroSectors Oil & Gas Exploration & Production 3X Leveraged ETNs (OILU), which acts as our key signal for energy movement.
Poverty in Germany has reached its highest level since comparable records began in 2020
13.34 million people, 16.1% of the population, were living in poverty in 2025, up from 15.5% the previous year.
The number of people in poverty is described as “crisis-like.”
Single parents, people living alone, young adults aged 18 to 25 and those over 65 were identified as the groups most affected.
WEEKLY LIQUIDITY UPDATE
Overview
Global Liquidity rose to US$193.3 trillion last week, according to the latest data.
- The 3‑month annualised growth rate held at 8.7%
- 12‑month growth increased to 7.9%
While headline liquidity is rising, the expansion remains narrowly driven by US Fed and Treasury policy, with underlying liquidity conditions still fragile. In particular, the Shadow Monetary Base (SMB) is held in check by weakening PBoC liquidity and ongoing Bank of Japan, ECB and Bank of England QT, highlighting a divergence between surface‑level strength and core liquidity dynamics. US dollar strength is a further headwind.
Global Liquidity (US$ Trillions)
- Latest level: US$193.29T
(↑ from US$193.16T last week; ↑ from US$192.43T two weeks ago) - 12‑month growth: 7.9%
(↑ from 7.5% last week; ↑ from 7.0% two weeks ago) - 3‑month annualised growth: 8.7%
(unchanged from 8.7% last week; ↑ from 7.8% two weeks ago)
Interpretation
Headline liquidity remains on an upward trajectory, with levels and annual growth co
CL inverted h+s 30m cloud flipping red. The bottom is in. Big breakout here and risk assets collapse
Monday Open - Weekly Market Update - June 2
A day late this week, had an all-day event at the golf course with OKX - celebrating the retirement of Pep Guardiola. Not what I expected to be doing when I first got into crypto, but I'll take it! :) It'll be a lighter…
Fears that we are about to enter a critical phase with respect to the availability of jet fuel:
Airlines are already sharply decreasing the number of flights made.
Ticket prices and surcharges are rising sharply.
Rationing at airports now in focus.
Regional airports may simply run out of fuel.
GDX - Weekly Chart Cycles
- The longer cycles from the weekly chart are pointing down.
- So, a potential bounce suggested by the daily cycle composite is likely a counter-trend move.
- I only trade counter-trend moves when I watch the instrument daily and have a reliable EW count, and possibly scalp when I get cycle price projections.
- But as a general principle, one should look to take position when both daily and weekly chart cycles point in the same direction.
$CMPS - Fundamentals are a lot more speculative but the TA looks really good. Long term breaking out and one analyst even has $70+ targets.
This is a huge gamble as it's non revenue BUT if they get FDA approval or are able to go to commercial market and the results are good this quickly becomes a monster of a company. There could be a lot of push back by big pharma and there's a lot of risks on top of scheduling the drugs.
They've got 500 million to work with in cash, cash burn much slower, and it seems like they are positioned well to have a semi productive 2026/2027. Another Trump tweet or White House pushing more for rescheduling could obviously cause more hype.
Plan: 1% position on the breakout in case it never comes lower. Next play would be a 2% buy if we get way lower in the green and sit on it long term. The 3rd buy would be on momentum out of the buy zone or confirmation that it's got approval or massive insider buying/news shows up.
COMPASS Pathways plc
1 Jun
LONGInvested Capital
1%
Buying Price
14.54$
Current Price
-
ROI
0.00%
$UUP - LEVEL 3 TRADE - This is an ETF with dividends that goes up when the US dollar gets stronger relatively. I've recently posted about different levels and this would be considered a Level 3 Trade (most probably won't take this trade). It's a SLOW mover and upside is about 8 to 10% over a year or longer. Position size is small on purpose, it's just to track. Real size for those with larger capital would be much larger.
Long term hold, large position size, and for those that have larger capital to sit on it. Those trading and growing an account probably do not want to take this trade.
https://app.slice-app.io/posts/a2048312-1dec-48ab-b00d-bec78939981c
I'm only going 1% on this trade because I don't want it to take up a large chunk of the portfolio so that I can't share other trades. This is a long term boring trade and those with limited capital probably will want to stick to the actual trades unless they are fine having money sit and do nothing/slowly go up for a while.
I think the US d
Sold 100%
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
1 Jun
LONGInvested Capital
1%
Buying Price
27.50$
Selling Price
27.40$
ROI
-0.38%
I got the same question a few times over the weekend, so let me clear something up before the SpaceX IPO on June 12th, because there's a lot of confusion floating around.
People keep asking which fund or index will spike when SpaceX goes public. The assumption is that SpaceX joins the S&P 500 on day one, the SPY gets a forced bump, and you want to be positioned ahead of it.
That's not how it works.
A company doesn't just walk into the S&P 500. Under the current rules it has to trade for about 12 months first and pass profitability and size tests. There's a proposed rule change that would let mega caps over $200 billion qualify in six months instead of twelve, but it's still a proposal, and even if it passes, it's months out. Not day one. There is no automatic SPY bump on IPO day. Index funds only have to buy on the official inclusion date, which comes weeks to months later.
Where's the instant-bump idea coming from? The Nasdaq. The Nasdaq-100 has a fast-entry rule that can pull a big new l
S&P 500 New Highs vs New Lows % (monthly)
We’re seeing clear range compression — the swings are getting smaller.
This is classic late-cycle behavior: fewer stocks participating in the rally, even as the major indexes make new highs.
Narrow breadth + extreme concentration = higher risk.
Worth watching closely, it will break out of this triangle, eventually.
Gold (GC) - Cycles
· A combination of Short, Long, and Very-Long cycles suggests down.
· The nominal 40D cycle will likely dominate short-term swings up and down.
Bitcoin - Cycles
- L + VL cycles suggest higher toward mid-July, then down again.
- BTC is trying to get back inside the 83-TD channel, which would be a bullish development.
