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WEEKLY GLOBAL LIQUIDITY UPDATE

Global Liquidity increased to US$194.87 trillion in the latest data.

• The 3-month annualised growth rate slowed further to 2.7%
• 12-month growth remained at 6.2%

Latest data show that headline liquidity has reached a new high at US$194.87 trillion, supported by PBoC liquidity injections, still low volatility, firm collateral values and a weaker US dollar but curbed by weakening Fed liquidity and ongoing ECB and BoJ QT.

Annual growth remained steady at 6.2%, while short-term momentum weakened further, with the 3-month annualised growth rate slowing to 2.7%. This suggests that while overall liquidity conditions remain highly supportive, the pace of expansion continues to moderate. Weak Shadow Monetary Base growth confirms that underlying liquidity creation has stalled.

Global Liquidity (US$ Trillions)

• Latest level: US$194.87T
  (↑ from US$194.44T last week; ↑ from US$194.08T two weeks ago)
• 12-month growth: 6.2%
  (unchanged from 6.2% last week; unchanged from 6.2% two week

Everyone is talking about Bitcoin now.

My Slice subscribers had this setup in mid-July at $64,000

First target of $80,000 achieved — a +24% on the trade in five weeks.

Current West Asia breakdown and why the Iran conflict is just a small piece of a far larger picture:

Middle East New Alliance Map — August 2026

There are several overlapping networks forming simultaneously.

1. 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia – 🇹🇷 Türkiye – 🇵🇰 Pakistan

The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement — 7 August 2026

This is the most important genuinely new security grouping.

The three countries agreed that an armed attack against one would be treated as an attack against all. The agreement also provides for political/military coordination, joint exercises and deeper defence-industrial cooperation. Egypt has been identified by Türkiye as a potential future member.

That gives you the potential future structure:

Türkiye → Egypt → Saudi Arabia → Pakistan

which stretches from the eastern Mediterranean to the Arabian Sea.

2. 🇸🇦 🇹🇷 🇵🇰 🇪🇬 — the embryonic four-country security/diplomatic group

This actually began before Mecca.

On 19 March, foreign ministers from Türkiye, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Egypt met in Riyadh to

What do you get when Wells Fargo and United Healthcare have a Chinese baby?

Ping An Insurance (2318 HK).

Ping An is the leading private life and health insurer in China. They also own a bank (Ping An) bank. The company has a reputation for being on the cutting edge of technology and retail distribution of financial products in China. It is a big cap financial with a market cap of $140bn.

Ping A first caught my attention in 2024, because I was surprised this former darling had become so lowly valued. The recent sell off in the share price and the positive 1H 2026 results have created another attractive entry point.

Ping An's investment portfolio is benefitting from the rise in equity markets and earnings look like they will beat consensus estimates for 2026 and likely 2027.

I forecast an EPS of RMB 8.8/share in 2026 and 10.2 in 2027 vs consensus of RMB 8.2 and 8.7.

This puts the shares on a 2026 P/E of 5.5x and less than 5x in 2027 with a dividend yield of 5.9%.

Longer term Ping A benefits

VIX Cycle Targets

• Sluggish but up
• Has a 21td UP target
• Barring a huge drop tomorrow, it will invalidate the 25td DOWN target and generate an UP target of about 17 or so

The GS high beta long vs high beta short index is getting hammered again.... Theoretically bad for hedge funds... particularly as the momentum short index is hitting new highs...

AksharChem (India) Ltd : CMP: Rs 318

1) AksharChem (India) Ltd has come out with bumper results for June Qr.

2) Sales, Np, GPM all went up.

3) Excellent BV of 326.

4) Excellent Promo stake of 62%

5) Tiny Eq of only 8 Cr.

6) They have started Precipitated Silica Greenfiend Plant in Dahej , Gujarat.

7) Precipitated Silica demand is on rise and will be till atleast 5-10 yrs.

8) Co has turned the corner in a big way.

Do your DD and take your call.

Well, go to AksharChem website too!!

Below is new Greenfield plant for Slica!!

Setelah aku cek grafik $BTC dengan rentan waktu bottom $BTC di 2 siklus sebelumnya.

Saya menemukan: 1 kemungkinan yang paling masuk akal untuk saat ini.

Sepertinya $BTC sudah berada di bottom nya, jika tidak ada news yang bisa bikin "black swam" mungkin september ke awal oktober hanya sebagai konsiliasi terakhir.

Sekilas: $BTC terlihat membentuk pola:?

~ Inverted head and shoulder pattern.

Jika siklus lalu ? $BTC hits New ATH sebelum halving di: di april 2024 karena ada demand besar (pemain baru) dari institusi ?

Dan jika $BTC akan mengikuti pola yang sama atau yang baru saat ini ?

Tahun 2027 potensi: Full Hijau !!

dan asumsi ? $BTC akan hits di atas: $140.000 sebelum halving di April 2028.

Note:

Ini hanya teori berdasarkan 4 year cycle.

bisa berubah kapan saja jika ada news yang tak terduga.

Nanti akan di update bertahap yah.

Bitcoin Pending 1H Breakout to Upside

I just woke up, but am watching this move develop.

UPDATE: Big advocate of waiting for confirmation. When I didn't with the ONDO trade, look what happened. 15 mins at least left in the 1H. This isn't a confirmed signal yet. Also, wanted to point out that this was a triangle, and broke down to further develop into a different pattern (more of an iHS continuation pattern). this is how it works and why have to manage risk, consider we will be wrong, and know what to look for ahead of time to be prepared to adapt. It just is what it is. This is starting to leave a wick into the trend line. You never know. Could run the next 15m candle opens inside the 1H. so many variables to consider

I have hedged short, but am still long. If this goes up instead, the long covers the loss of the short and I don't lose money, but I don't start gaining until I'm stopped

If we do get the upside move, the target is $81K

This pattern still looks very sub-wave 4, meaning there

JustDario Live Stream #8 (24th August 2026) - SUMMARY

Elliot wave theory will have a wave 4 retrace at 0.382 and 0.5 of wave 3.

Those are usually areas to watch for a trade entry.

But I wanted to offer up the aggressive entry on previous post just in case this is a lock out rally. ....

Will there be a retrace? Of course, and it's likely to be brutal. But for now, "bulls" are waiting for a retrace, and many "bears" are laddering into shorts.

It's a recipe to continue aggressively and makes the weekend consolidation the halfway mark to this rally.

I wouldn't want to see any closes 4hr and higher below 69k for now for rally to continue

Planning a video for later

US Dollar (DXY) - Dominant Swing Trading Cycle

• 36-week (Hurst nominal 40W) cycle dominates swings in the US Dollar Index, and it has rolled over

SPX - Technical Analysis 101

1. The McClellan Summation Index ($NYSI), a key trend indicator, is pointing down.
2. Negative divergence is seen in RSI, MACD, and $NYSI.
3. The MACD histogram has turned negative.
4. There's temporary support at the middle Keltner band.
5. Breaking below the August gap and June high (brown line); next support is at the lower Keltner band and 50-day MA.