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As I said many many times for months, China crude oil imports tumbled because they cannot buy Iranian crude due to US blockade and war disruptions not because they wanted to "save the world" as many charlatans claimed - as a result their Shandong refineries inventories continue to be drained and now down to a critical level similar to what happened for other countries in the world that cannot import much crude from the middle east (not Iranian crude, because their refineries are not set up for it)

Education - How to trade Elliott waves and Fibonacci levels

• Repeating for new members

What was happening beneath the market surface on Monday?

Out of 11 sectors, only Energy and Materials showed positive breadth.

SPX held up relatively well despite weakness in semis and a mixed performance from the Magnificent 7.

Is SPX/VIX Ratio Sending a Signal?

After spiking above the Kelther channel, the ratio reversed back into it.

Is this one of those red setups or orange fakes?

I think it is the red one, but not precluding another whipsaw around the upper Keltner channel boundary.

GC Cycles

• The two most stable short cycles "promise" a pullback for a week, but they are opposed by long cycles that are pressing higher into late September
• In plain English, we may get some small pullback soon, but not a deep one, IMO

$GOOG Daily update
Double nested higher low here. This is a monster and it's not going anywhere.

IWM Daily upate
Short term short trade to juice the returns.

The AAPL setup is a perfect example of what a high probability setup would look like in my system

It hit both price and time (green + grey) and that marked our pivot and rejection at the expansion gate, confirming that C wave has now begun.

Shame I missed this one but I will be looking for a pop up today to short and use the local top as my stop

Altcoin Gems: $TST

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Sejujurnya $TST cukup menarik

lowcap seperti $SKYAI di jaringan $BSC juga naik sangat tinggi !!

Ini seperti pompa yang terkonsentrasi.

$TST selama tidak kena area invalidasi? saya rasa masih bullish.

$BSC berikutnya?

bisa pantau: $TST dan $TUT

Altcoin gems $BSC target 20-40% 💎

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$MUBARAK

sudah breakout di timeframe (3D).

terlihat membuat pola double bottom.

bisa DCA in sedikit demi sedikit dulu, jika dapat rites lebih enak lagi.

tapi kalau tertarik bisa beli sedikit dulu.

$MUBARAK (BSC).

Saya nambah $AIXBT bottom (1D).

dan ini adalah area yang ideal buat bounce 👌🏻

Altcoin Gems: target 20-40% 💎 (lowcap).

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$MANTA

Seperti di timeframe (1D) dan (4H), saya pikir $MANTA sudah hit lokal bottomnya.

Sama dengan altcoin lainya, enah gimana?

saya pikir $MANTA akan dapat tag monitoring mirip $PORTAL dan $COOKIE

Mungkin akan ada Pompa Pembuangan terakhir (Exit Pump). Ini bisa buy di spot atau future sih ini.

Karena lowcap saat ini, naiknya agak ngeri.

bisa di pertimbangkan, siapa tau $MANTA tiba-tiba pump.

Re-Entry. $MANTA

Bitcoin Possible Hedge Short Setup

(I don't understand why the formatting keeps breaking - frustrating!)

If Bitcoin doesn't make a larger move up, I see two downside scenarios. One remains still bullish where we test that lower pink box and we just aren't done with our right shoulder.

I don't like this idea though. It is taking too long for this intracycle to "top" and will start rolling over with or without the move up. We've done plenty of retesting and the bands are tight

I'm still leaning towards long, but because of how the candlesticks look at this local resistance, I need to consider we are failing here and may end up with the purple scenario in the second chart

These are the three primary scenarios I see. The purple where we move down now is the nastiest of them. So bad I can't show it all it makes the chart look bad

Because of this wave count setup, moving into a wave 3 in the purple scenario, it's a hugely profitable short. Hence the hedge idea

Upside here is also very profitable.

UPDATE: $BTC Next Bullrun !!

Setiap 36 bulan $BTC dari ATH siklus sebelumnya ke ATH berikutnya membutuhkan waktu 36 bulan.

Namun selalu ada 2x crash baik di bottom saat 2019 dan 2022 akhir. Jika pola sama terulang ?

Maka kita akan mendapatkan penurunan $BTC sekali lagi. Sebelum naik lagi ke ATH berikutnya.

Saat ini kita sudah setengah jalan dsn mau bottom. Lihat saja $TUT setelah turun 1 tahun harganya langsung ATH dalam 1 munggu kurang.

Jika kita bertahan dan dapat 1 saja seperti $TUT dan menahanya sampai ATH ?

Kita pasti akan mendapatkan ke untungan

jika sebaliknya, 90% orang yang memasang future saat penurunan $TUT 1 tahun yang lalu ?

Maka mereka adalah sebagai liquidity nya.

ingat crypto itu lebih ke PvP kalian harus paham konsep supply and demand.

Makanya saya menyarankan untuk Spot

jika Future? maksimal 10% dari capital saja.

Semoga kalian yang sub dan kita semua saat ini, bisa Profit dengan maksimal di siklus depan atau di tahun 2027/2028.

DJI Short and Long Cycles

·         Taking into account the most reliable short and long cycles, the trend should be down into early September, and after a bounce, further down into late October.