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looks like a really aggresive LTF running flat on silver with the hidden bullish divergence as it retests expansion gate anchored from the first imulse. This suggests a strong wave 3 is coming soon

This is a C wave of B so I expect it to have impulsive structure

XRP has a nice range with swing failure ...backtest today and liquidity above the range

DXY - Starting to look like this structure was corrective ABC - doesnt change anything

Quick heads-up: we’re breaking our usual Sunday schedule to flag a timely PayPal setup that may trigger today:

Paypal Holdings (PYPL) – Potential Double Bottom long – BUY ON stop-in at $42.35

- ENTRY PRICE: - BUY ON pullback to $42.35

- 1^ST TARGET PRICE: $44.08 – 2^nd Target –$44.95 – 3^rd target $45.82 – Extended Target – $52.33

- STOP LOSS: close below - $39.92 or an intraday trade below $39.43
Important note: If you enter the trade at or near the buy price and PayPal does not finish the day (close) above that level, exit the position the same day for a small loss. If you can’t be around for the close, and PayPal ends the session below our entry price, you can exit the next morning. If it does close above the buy price, the trade is active, and you stay with it.

Waaree - Still decent vols considering 4 trading sessions in current expiry. Gap fill at 2850 and expect it to take support there so in the range of 2850-2900.

Initiated OTM put calendar - 2900 strike.

Bitcoin versus Global markets versus Gold

Things have become quite interesting after now seeing how much retail is dumping and selling Bitcoin while institutions, governments, and businesses keep buying. Retail and individuals have actually been the major holder which is why their influence is more impactful. Retail is aggressively more bullish.

Gold is a fear trade, global markets is a bet against America

It's amazing to see the deviation between Bitcoin going down and Gold going up bit it was right after the 10/10 event where people established this new relationship where if the dollar gets weaker so does Bitcoin. It's completely backwards because Bitcoin should have been going up with fears of a weakening dollar but when you have countries heavier in Gold looking for independence against the US dollar it's been clear they saw a better narrative to push. Not saying it's some conspiracy and I might be embellishing a bit but people are in risk off mode and they are "worried" about the US.

Volatility is creeping back. If you're day trading it, check this out.

VIX has been trending higher for a couple months now. We've been tracking this thing and we're getting back up towards the edges of the range. When we get to these levels people start thinking about positioning for volatility to pull back in. If you're looking out a couple days or a couple weeks, that's the trade you're watching for.

If you're an intraday trader though and you just want to trade volatility while it's here, there are two tickers you should pay attention to.

UVXY is a 1.5x leveraged long VIX ETF. It tracks short-term VIX futures and moves in the same direction as fear. When the market sells off and volatility spikes, this thing rips because of the leverage.

SVXY is the other side. It's a -0.5x inverse VIX ETF so it goes up when volatility goes down. Doesn't move as fast as UVXY because the leverage is lower but when vol starts to fade this is how you play that.

The way we like to trade these intraday is wi

FX Weekly Signals are out.
These views are generated by our multi-factor FX model, with the core macro driver coming from CrossBorder Capital’s liquidity dataset.
The heatmap highlights where liquidity conditions are translating into stronger vs weaker relative FX signals this week.

Getting the breakout in DXY that I was predicting - this will push risk assets higher tomorrow. Bearish retest of HTF POC will be the cue to add aggresively to short positions as the coming breakdown will mean systemic deleveraging is beginning, given wave 3 of 3 starts which is the meat of the move down.

forgot to log the trade