NQ 1H bear div and complete wave 1 impulse, looking for a pullback towards 25500-25600
A retest of the macro channel (blue) would make sense here
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This 3 things should be done as a rule.
Do your DD.
Take your call.
$SPY - Morning pump on inflation coming in at 3.0% lower than expected 3.1%. Since a lot of the move was after hours we now have a big gap lower.
The 30 minute strategy is a little tough today and once again will only add if there is confirmation in either direction. We got Green then Red candle so not the ideal scenario for upside.
If support breaks can switch to puts on confirmation and play lower gap target but for now support still holding and so is resistance.
If up on the week no need to risk giving back profits, so can be safer playing confirmation or just holding the initial entry and watching.
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$SPY - Been eyeing that gap since Tuesday and sure enough we just got it filled today. If you had held all the way to the gap target today you'd be looking at 5x returns. If you were happy with the quick profits it was a nice 2x.
As pointed out before the key to this strategy is doing it every day of the week because you never know which day is going to be the big winner. And also keeping your position sizes the same (or only adding on confirmation days) so that the days it doesn't work you only lose half or one unit size.
In hindsight today ideally if you went 1 size on the red color (first 30 minute close) and went another size on the confirmation, you could have closed the second trade for 100% to lock in gains, and let the other run for a 5x to fill the gap.
The success is finding a way that works best for yourself since everyone using different sizes and has different risks. A small account might want to hold all day, bigger accounts might be fine locking in earlier profits.
IWM daily is about to break above the BBWP downward trendline, indicating volatility expansion is about to begin
When you looks at this corrective structure on lower time frames over the past 6 weeks you can see how this is one massive ascending triangle that is coiling energy in preparation for a big move and breakout
$SPY - We've gone from a trending/bullish market to a ranging market. This is why there's reason to be a little more cautious and be concerned because if this turns into a distribution channel we could see it lead to a bear market. If we consolidate in this channel and do push up higher it would just another accumulation (less likely but very possible for the rest of the year).
A ranging market is much tougher to trade where calls and puts can get chopped up and news is most likely to pump it to the top of the channel or bring it to the bottom of the channel.
$SPY - 30 minute candle strategy. First entry you start with your smallest position size on calls because green, second entry will be adding if it closes above the range. Closing/switching to puts on a rejection or close back into the range. Lower gap could fill today or tomorrow so have to be mindful of that.
In 10 minutes will post an update in the comments to see what the next move I'll take is.
Update: Nice 100% trade and will be done for the day with this one. There's a good chance for more upside but there is a lower gap that might hit today or tomorrow.
Update: Second photo added to show before and after.
Hi All,
Going to try something a little different here.
We will do Ticker request video (drop a ticker below and I will review it)
Then later in the week I will do a Q&A video with no ticker requests.
Maybe another one on psychology only?
Let me know what you think below - and drop a ticker if you want me to cover it.
Have a great week!