Post
Post

Micron Technology (MU) Analysis · Micron Technology is one of the dominant computer memory chip companies in the world. · Chip memory stocks had parabolic runs due to strong demand caused by the AI infrastructure build. · Usually, parabolic runs are followed by sharp reversals, rather than sideways corrections. · This is what we are seeing in MU price pattern. · It likely topped with negative RSI divergence, then dropped in seemingly five waves, plus an ugly candle on Friday. · This is an ominous Elliott Wave pattern suggesting at least a 3-wave correction (green labels/path), or possibly five waves down in a more bearish pattern (red labels/path). · Even under a green, long-term bullish pattern, it could reach the 400 area to close the open gaps, before running to new highs. · There is an open gap above, which MU might attempt to close in red 2 or green B. · Under the red Elliott wave count, 5 waves down for (1) may hit the 100 range; this is on a linear scale. Alternatively, a log scale may be important to examine; in that case, a good target for (1) would be the 400 range. · It's currently sandwiched between the 50-day and 100-day moving averages; a break of the 100D MA will confirm an intermediate-term downtrend. · Given the gap above and multiple gaps below, the question arises: which one will be filled first? · Are memory computer memory chips about to fall off the table? · Their price gyrations are already causing major disruptions to the Korean stock market. · If they continue to fall, they will keep pressuring the semiconductor index (SOX) and, consequently, the NASDAQ 100 also.

Published Aug 02, 2026Updated Aug 02, 20264 min read
Micron Technology (MU) Analysis · Micron Technology is one of the dominant computer memory chip companies in the world. · Chip memory stocks had parabolic runs due to strong demand caused by the AI infrastructure build. · Usually, parabolic runs are followed by sharp reversals, rather than sideways corrections. · This is what we are seeing in MU price pattern. · It likely topped with negative RSI divergence, then dropped in seemingly five waves, plus an ugly candle on Friday. · This is an ominous Elliott Wave pattern suggesting at least a 3-wave correction (green labels/path), or possibly five waves down in a more bearish pattern (red labels/path). · Even under a green, long-term bullish pattern, it could reach the 400 area to close the open gaps, before running to new highs. · There is an open gap above, which MU might attempt to close in red 2 or green B. · Under the red Elliott wave count, 5 waves down for (1) may hit the 100 range; this is on a linear scale. Alternatively, a log scale may be important to examine; in that case, a good target for (1) would be the 400 range. · It's currently sandwiched between the 50-day and 100-day moving averages; a break of the 100D MA will confirm an intermediate-term downtrend. · Given the gap above and multiple gaps below, the question arises: which one will be filled first? · Are memory computer memory chips about to fall off the table? · Their price gyrations are already causing major disruptions to the Korean stock market. · If they continue to fall, they will keep pressuring the semiconductor index (SOX) and, consequently, the NASDAQ 100 also.
Article image 1