AJB Capital
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AJB Capital
Garrett Baldwin and Scott Dunn explore alternative investment strategies, value and momentum strategies, tail-risk analysis, and behavioral finance. We take a highly quantitative approach to trading and investing and blend it with macroeconomic analysis and deep research. We also highly emphasis risk management practices. Long call/put, spread trading, value reversion, RSI/MFI reversions.
434Posts
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18%Best ROI
Joined on 16th December 2025
Baltimore, Maryland
I got the same question a few times over the weekend, so let me clear something up before the SpaceX IPO on June 12th, because there's a lot of confusion floating around.
People keep asking which fund or index will spike when SpaceX goes public. The assumption is that SpaceX joins the S&P 500 on day one, the SPY gets a forced bump, and you want to be positioned ahead of it.
That's not how it works.
A company doesn't just walk into the S&P 500. Under the current rules it has to trade for about 12 months first and pass profitability and size tests. There's a proposed rule change that would let mega caps over $200 billion qualify in six months instead of twelve, but it's still a proposal, and even if it passes, it's months out. Not day one. There is no automatic SPY bump on IPO day. Index funds only have to buy on the official inclusion date, which comes weeks to months later.
Where's the instant-bump idea coming from? The Nasdaq. The Nasdaq-100 has a fast-entry rule that can pull a big new l
Good move for Norwegian Cruise Lines (NCLH) today. Here's what's on the Launchpad this evening. Mosaic with a nice move from the Hormuz situation improving. At the start of the year MOS saw its 8-ema break the 20 and run 30%. A name worth watching.
With NVIDIA earnings after the bell today, I shot a quick video on what to expect. It's not about the chips. It's about the infrastructure war underneath all of it.
NVIDIA is no longer competing against AMD. It's competing against Amazon. Against Google. Against Anthropic. Against every customer it built dependent on it. The largest company on the planet reports tonight and Wall Street is going to spend twelve hours obsessing over revenue, margins, and Blackwell demand.
We are focusing our attention on what's underneath all of that...