TonySeverinoCMT
TonySeverinoCMT
TonySeverinoCMT avatar

TonySeverinoCMT

Sign up
Crypto
Commodity
Stock

Chartered Market Technician. Cycles, crowds, psychology. I don’t predict — I observe structure. Less noise. More signal.

698Posts
787Comments
183%Best ROI
joined

Joined on 15th November 2024

•
location

Boston, MA

•
X
TonySeverinoCMT
Apr 07, 2026Public Post
Bitcoin BTCUSD Daily Close: Keep Your Shorts This is precisely why we let the signals do the deciding for us. Earlier today, I was tempted to flip long, but the right call was to wait for the daily close and get confirmation around the Ichimoku Cloud. Bitcoin was rejected yet AGAIN There's always a chance it pushes right back up there, but this is a LOT of rejection at this point I am going to look at more signals to double and triple confirm. But for now, I wanted to show off how well this is working I got to be honest, Trump's comments about how the US could wipe out the entire country and might do it tomorrow night, is terrifying His ego might be damaged from how poorly this war is going, and he might do something dramatic to try and make his enemies fear him I don't want to doom and gloom, but if war escalates tomorrow, Bitcoin and the stock market will have a catastrophic drop. Being on the short side is much preferred with risk this high Stay patient. I set an order for a shor ... see more
Bitcoin BTCUSD Daily Close: Keep Your Shorts This is precisely why we let the signals do the deciding for us. Earlier today, I was tempted to flip long, but the right call was to wait for the daily close and get confirmation around the Ichimoku Cloud. Bitcoin was rejected yet AGAIN There's always a chance it pushes right back up there, but this is a LOT of rejection at this point I am going to look at more signals to double and triple confirm. But for now, I wanted to show off how well this is working I got to be honest, Trump's comments about how the US could wipe out the entire country and might do it tomorrow night, is terrifying His ego might be damaged from how poorly this war is going, and he might do something dramatic to try and make his enemies fear him I don't want to doom and gloom, but if war escalates tomorrow, Bitcoin and the stock market will have a catastrophic drop. Being on the short side is much preferred with risk this high Stay patient. I set an order for a short inside the cloud. BTC should wick into it, then resume down if it does reverse here. I've placed a stop buy order above my stop loss, so if the trade goes against my short, it will stop me out of the short, and stop buy me into a long. It is an advanced strategy.
TonySeverinoCMT
Apr 04, 2026Public Post
Update on Slice Content and Schedule: Easter Sunday Hey everyone – I am taking the day today to be with family. I have a family dinner tomorrow also, but when I am back from that I plan on working several hours and getting us all caught up more on here. I did some charts for the videos on Friday I want to walk everyone through on here. I want to do a Q&A in case people have questions on my thesis or it wasn't clear in some areas. Remember, this is a longer term, high timeframe prediction – backed by evidence, but is still so far into the future. We need to be aware of possible future outcomes, but then remain present in face what is in front of us. Short term: Bitcoin seems resilient and it could lead to a bounce. Breakdown, however, is catastrophic. The risk reward feels to suggest it isn't worth trying to get into this next move. I'd still much rather be short-biased Stocks I still think are bearish and retesting. If this week closes strong, stocks probably did bounce. Medium-term ... see more