TonyTheBullSeverino
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Chartered Market Technician. Cycles, crowds, psychology. I don’t predict — I observe structure. Less noise. More signal.
Hey everyone -
Opening this up for an AMA. Ask anything you want.
I am going to try to get better organized today.
I want to separate:
Overall Market
Bitcoin wave count, cycles, technicals
Altcoins
Dollar
Oil
Stock Market
Bonds
Macro
Psychology
The Fourth Turning
Tying It All Together
I want to create a section on: Music Theory and Why Music? (but not sure if I will be able to fit it in with the rest)
The reason I am putting this list on here, is because I want you to help me. Is there anything you want better defined that isn't on this list that will help you better understand my overall thesis?
I am running out of time to get this in front of people
Although based on some measurements I did, I don't think this collapses until November
We HAVE to get to the "see Tony, it didn't hit your target in October" taunting first
Everyone has to feel even more like they were right and that the 4 year cycle is dead or already bottomed
Still, this isn't a lot of time for me to get everyone feeling comforta
IMO, I don't know how anyone could ever look at this chart right here and think
the bottom is 100% in
this is the start of a new bull market
This looks far more like the end of something
If anything is beginning, it is the first ever secular bear market
This candle closes in 5 days and 11 hours. The indicator below is a momentum index
Momentum persists
meaning, if this rolls over, which it has - momentum can carry this MUCH MUCH lower
The higher momentum swings, the harder the force it swings back down with
Really think logically
EVERYONE thinks Bitcoin has enable some cheat code for wealth. Let it crash, buy a bear market low, and hold. Rinse repeat. Wealth
No
That worked. And people recognized it did Now that it is easy, it won't work
The same way, everyone wants to get in on the newest fashion trend to be cool and "in"
They think look at me I am so unique and original, in the same fashion everyone is into now
At the end, there's people being like 'hey can you believe how co