TonyTheBullSeverino
TonyTheBullSeverino
TonyTheBullSeverino avatar

TonyTheBullSeverino

Crypto
Commodity
Stock

Chartered Market Technician. Cycles, crowds, psychology. I don’t predict — I observe structure. Less noise. More signal.

828Posts
963Comments
183%Best ROI
joined

Joined on 15th November 2024

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location

Boston, MA

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Sunday AMA


Hey everyone -


Opening this up for an AMA. Ask anything you want.


I am going to try to get better organized today.


I want to separate:


Overall Market

Bitcoin wave count, cycles, technicals

Altcoins

Dollar

Oil

Stock Market

Bonds

Macro

Psychology

The Fourth Turning

Tying It All Together


I want to create a section on: Music Theory and Why Music? (but not sure if I will be able to fit it in with the rest)


The reason I am putting this list on here, is because I want you to help me. Is there anything you want better defined that isn't on this list that will help you better understand my overall thesis?


I am running out of time to get this in front of people


Although based on some measurements I did, I don't think this collapses until November


We HAVE to get to the "see Tony, it didn't hit your target in October" taunting first


Everyone has to feel even more like they were right and that the 4 year cycle is dead or already bottomed


Still, this isn't a lot of time for me to get everyone feeling comforta

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When In Doubt, Zoom Out


IMO, I don't know how anyone could ever look at this chart right here and think


the bottom is 100% in

this is the start of a new bull market


This looks far more like the end of something


If anything is beginning, it is the first ever secular bear market


This candle closes in 5 days and 11 hours. The indicator below is a momentum index


Momentum persists


meaning, if this rolls over, which it has - momentum can carry this MUCH MUCH lower


The higher momentum swings, the harder the force it swings back down with


Really think logically


EVERYONE thinks Bitcoin has enable some cheat code for wealth. Let it crash, buy a bear market low, and hold. Rinse repeat. Wealth


No


That worked. And people recognized it did Now that it is easy, it won't work


The same way, everyone wants to get in on the newest fashion trend to be cool and "in"


They think look at me I am so unique and original, in the same fashion everyone is into now


At the end, there's people being like 'hey can you believe how co

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