TonyTheBullSeverino
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TonyTheBullSeverino
Chartered Market Technician. Cycles, crowds, psychology. I don’t predict — I observe structure. Less noise. More signal.
827Posts
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183%Best ROI
Joined on 15th November 2024
Boston, MA
Bitcoin Quarterly Update: Q4 Has Begun
Here are a couple perspectives
Difficult to say this looks like past bottoms when looking at the higher timeframes
Bulls did recover a lot of the yearly candle. But if this were to reject here, and make new lows, the yearly candle would basically be doomed and the secular bear market in my eyes would be VERY confirmed
See the Evening Star at the top of the Quarterly at the highs? That would then form on the yearly
This monthly candle stopped precisely at the close price of Q4 2025
Sunday AMA
Hey everyone -
Opening this up for an AMA. Ask anything you want.
I am going to try to get better organized today.
I want to separate:
Overall Market
Bitcoin wave count, cycles, technicals
Altcoins
Dollar
Oil
Stock Market
Bonds
Macro
Psychology
The Fourth Turning
Tying It All Together
I want to create a section on: Music Theory and Why Music? (but not sure if I will be able to fit it in with the rest)
The reason I am putting this list on here, is because I want you to help me. Is there anything you want better defined that isn't on this list that will help you better understand my overall thesis?
I am running out of time to get this in front of people
Although based on some measurements I did, I don't think this collapses until November
We HAVE to get to the "see Tony, it didn't hit your target in October" taunting first
Everyone has to feel even more like they were right and that the 4 year cycle is dead or already bottomed
Still, this isn't a lot of time for me to get everyone feeling comforta