TonySeverinoCMT
TonySeverinoCMT
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TonySeverinoCMT

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Chartered Market Technician. Cycles, crowds, psychology. I don’t predict — I observe structure. Less noise. More signal.

704Posts
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Joined on 15th November 2024

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TonySeverinoCMT
Dec 15, 2025Public Post
Bitcoin Daily Bollinger Band Compression: What The Signal Suggests Technically, BTCUSD's daily Bollinger Bands are tightening, highlighting diminished volatility. This tends to precede a switch to volatility and confirmation versus ranging and uncertainty. Simply put. When the calm breaks, a big (daily timeframe) move comes Based on where the market is, there is a higher probability the market moves up in the short term. This is due to the psychology at play – and its a ripe setup for a bull trap BTCUSD momentum is already aimed towards fear and panic, not hope and optimism. The problem is that the market hasn't yet accepted this change The last big move down that got us to this current range was nasty, but not quite enough to get everyone to believe it is a bear market - this means the trend is lacking acceptance Because there is a lack of acceptance, bulls will easily believe their biases were correct and confirmed when price moves back up. Their complacency makes them an easy tar ... see more
Bitcoin Daily Bollinger Band Compression: What The Signal Suggests Bitcoin bull trap setup: Bollinger compression after a sharp decline reflects hesitation, not strength. It shows a market trying to stabilize emotionally before conviction returns. When belief hasn’t reset but fear has appeared, upside moves tend to be fragile — and often serve as tests, not confirmations.
TonySeverinoCMT
Dec 06, 2025Public Post
OTHERS Altcoin Index Head & Shoulders Analysis We’ve got three charts here. First, we have ONDO which shows a Head and Shoulders top pattern mid breakdown. Target is 20 cents Second, we have OTHERS that shows the same pattern pre-breakdown. This could suggest altcoins as a whole have another 50-60% leg down coming Third, we have a cyclical look at OTHERS, which shows that a bear market is right on time, and should bottom in mid-2026 RSI will reach oversold before the bottom is in Be careful with alts
OTHERS Altcoin Index Head & Shoulders Analysis We’ve got three charts here. First, we have ONDO which shows a Head and Shoulders top pattern mid breakdown. Target is 20 cents Second, we have OTHERS that shows the same pattern pre-breakdown. This could suggest altcoins as a whole have another 50-60% leg down coming Third, we have a cyclical look at OTHERS, which shows that a bear market is right on time, and should bottom in mid-2026 RSI will reach oversold before the bottom is in Be careful with altsOTHERS Altcoin Index Head & Shoulders Analysis We’ve got three charts here. First, we have ONDO which shows a Head and Shoulders top pattern mid breakdown. Target is 20 cents Second, we have OTHERS that shows the same pattern pre-breakdown. This could suggest altcoins as a whole have another 50-60% leg down coming Third, we have a cyclical look at OTHERS, which shows that a bear market is right on time, and should bottom in mid-2026 RSI will reach oversold before the bottom is in Be careful with altsOTHERS Altcoin Index Head & Shoulders Analysis We’ve got three charts here. First, we have ONDO which shows a Head and Shoulders top pattern mid breakdown. Target is 20 cents Second, we have OTHERS that shows the same pattern pre-breakdown. This could suggest altcoins as a whole have another 50-60% leg down coming Third, we have a cyclical look at OTHERS, which shows that a bear market is right on time, and should bottom in mid-2026 RSI will reach oversold before the bottom is in Be careful with alts