TonySeverinoCMT
TonySeverinoCMT
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TonySeverinoCMT

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Chartered Market Technician. Cycles, crowds, psychology. I don’t predict — I observe structure. Less noise. More signal.

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Joined on 15th November 2024

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TonySeverinoCMT
Mar 16, 2026Public Post
Ethereum vs Bitcoin ETHBTC 1M Analysis: Could Alts Be Ready To Shine? I genuinely cannot believe I am saying this, but if the ETHBTC chart is telling the truth, it is hinting at huge altcoin overperformance against Bitcoin. I really don't understand why we'd get such a huge risk-on situation, so maybe these signals fail by the end of the month. There are 15 more days until the close so I a lot can happen. However, if these signals breakout before the month is over, or in the coming months, alts will do well compared to BTC. I don't know if this is a BTC pumps less or falls harder situation, but it does look like there's a very good longer-term swing trade ready in ETHBTC. This means you would want to own more spot ETH than BTC and move your BTC into ETH. Or you'd long ETHBTC if you expected ETH to overperform BTC. A bull flag is potentially about to break out right below the Bollinger Band basis on the monthly. The RSI is working on trying again on a downtrend line that's had severa ... see more
Ethereum vs Bitcoin ETHBTC 1M Analysis: Could Alts Be Ready To Shine? I genuinely cannot believe I am saying this, but if the ETHBTC chart is telling the truth, it is hinting at huge altcoin overperformance against Bitcoin. I really don't understand why we'd get such a huge risk-on situation, so maybe these signals fail by the end of the month. There are 15 more days until the close so I a lot can happen. However, if these signals breakout before the month is over, or in the coming months, alts will do well compared to BTC. I don't know if this is a BTC pumps less or falls harder situation, but it does look like there's a very good longer-term swing trade ready in ETHBTC. This means you would want to own more spot ETH than BTC and move your BTC into ETH. Or you'd long ETHBTC if you expected ETH to overperform BTC. A bull flag is potentially about to break out right below the Bollinger Band basis on the monthly. The RSI is working on trying again on a downtrend line that's had several strong rejections. But enough taps and it'll break. LMACD is showing a dark green tick on the histogram highlighting strengthening bullish momentum. Stoch is holding and turning back cup around 50. This is bullish usually. A lot of these things appeared before the last major alt season. I don't wanna jump the gun and say one is coming. But it would be such a max pain scenario given how much the market has shaken everyone out of alts over the last few years. I am going to start going through altcoin charts tomorrow to look for more trade setups. Could be some big winners over the next several weeks.