TonySeverinoCMT
TonySeverinoCMT
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TonySeverinoCMT

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Chartered Market Technician. Cycles, crowds, psychology. I don’t predict — I observe structure. Less noise. More signal.

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Joined on 15th November 2024

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TonySeverinoCMT
Apr 01, 2026Public Post
Quick Update: Bitcoin – Still Not Fully Convinced, But Ready To Pivot This was always going to be a PIVOTAL move, so one side was always going to end up winning and it would be dramatic No side won yet, so we haven't got the drama When one side gives in, you will know The market wanted to close the monthly and quarterly the way it did yesterday. I am going through all of those signals now and will report back soon on that. For now, I wanted to show that this still has potential to turn back down Price is hitting the 50 day SMA - getting above it for a third time should send this up higher. Rejection obviously leads to now lows LMACD could puke back down (kinda looks like it will) or cross bullish and move about the zero line RSI is close to making it above 50, but is also hitting a lost uptrend support line turned resistance Still hard to flip bullish, but getting closer to having no choice but to do so Overall, if this reverses higher I see two things: It will be short-lived and wo ... see more
Quick Update: Bitcoin – Still Not Fully Convinced, But Ready To Pivot This was always going to be a PIVOTAL move, so one side was always going to end up winning and it would be dramatic No side won yet, so we haven't got the drama When one side gives in, you will know The market wanted to close the monthly and quarterly the way it did yesterday. I am going through all of those signals now and will report back soon on that. For now, I wanted to show that this still has potential to turn back down Price is hitting the 50 day SMA - getting above it for a third time should send this up higher. Rejection obviously leads to now lows LMACD could puke back down (kinda looks like it will) or cross bullish and move about the zero line RSI is close to making it above 50, but is also hitting a lost uptrend support line turned resistance Still hard to flip bullish, but getting closer to having no choice but to do so Overall, if this reverses higher I see two things: It will be short-lived and won't be new ATHS, altcoins are going to rip higher as a contrarian play If we reject, it all goes to hell as I feared I can't in good faith yet say go long or buy, knowing the risk. Yes will take a loss on a short. Yes, we will be missing some gains on the buy/long. Both are normal parts of trading and investing and we have to accept it and move on In fact, that's an important part of this, is our relationship with money I was having this convo with my nephew this morning. Stating that I didn't start REALLY making money until I stopped giving a shit about it I spent it with the thought process, its only money, I will just make more I stopped hustling for it and working as hard, and wildly I made more money than I ever did I stopped caring about losses, and stayed laser focused on making the wins that matter For you to succeed in markets, this is required of you. And personally, I think it will help you in life Manifesting money isn't about saying "I want to make more money, give it to me universe" You have to live and feel the manifestation Someone in my X comments trashed me compared to Saylor saying I am not a billionaire. My response is that I am not a billionaire YET Will I be? Who knows. Probably. I don't care that much. It will come if it's meant for me. Living the life I want and not worrying about becoming a billionaire is more important to me. And because of that, I have more of a chance of becoming a billionaire than mostQuick Update: Bitcoin – Still Not Fully Convinced, But Ready To Pivot This was always going to be a PIVOTAL move, so one side was always going to end up winning and it would be dramatic No side won yet, so we haven't got the drama When one side gives in, you will know The market wanted to close the monthly and quarterly the way it did yesterday. I am going through all of those signals now and will report back soon on that. For now, I wanted to show that this still has potential to turn back down Price is hitting the 50 day SMA - getting above it for a third time should send this up higher. Rejection obviously leads to now lows LMACD could puke back down (kinda looks like it will) or cross bullish and move about the zero line RSI is close to making it above 50, but is also hitting a lost uptrend support line turned resistance Still hard to flip bullish, but getting closer to having no choice but to do so Overall, if this reverses higher I see two things: It will be short-lived and won't be new ATHS, altcoins are going to rip higher as a contrarian play If we reject, it all goes to hell as I feared I can't in good faith yet say go long or buy, knowing the risk. Yes will take a loss on a short. Yes, we will be missing some gains on the buy/long. Both are normal parts of trading and investing and we have to accept it and move on In fact, that's an important part of this, is our relationship with money I was having this convo with my nephew this morning. Stating that I didn't start REALLY making money until I stopped giving a shit about it I spent it with the thought process, its only money, I will just make more I stopped hustling for it and working as hard, and wildly I made more money than I ever did I stopped caring about losses, and stayed laser focused on making the wins that matter For you to succeed in markets, this is required of you. And personally, I think it will help you in life Manifesting money isn't about saying "I want to make more money, give it to me universe" You have to live and feel the manifestation Someone in my X comments trashed me compared to Saylor saying I am not a billionaire. My response is that I am not a billionaire YET Will I be? Who knows. Probably. I don't care that much. It will come if it's meant for me. Living the life I want and not worrying about becoming a billionaire is more important to me. And because of that, I have more of a chance of becoming a billionaire than most