Sonny
Sonny
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Sonny

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Full time trader and investor specializing in Elliot Wave Theory, market psychology and macro cycles.

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Sonny
Public Post

BTC LTF update


Sub Wave 4 looks complete imho. There is a lot of Fib confluence around $124-127k so it could be a sticky area where we see the next correction and consolidation

BTC LTF update
Sonny
Public Post

VIX signals and hedging strategy checklist



Stage 1: Compression (Bluff Active)

  • VIX: Grinding lower, near recent lows.
  • VVIX/VIX: Rising toward 6.9 but not yet breaking out.
  • VIX 9D/3M Ratio: Creeping higher from a low base, but not accelerating yet.
  • RSP/IWM: Rolling over; breadth weakening, but not collapsing.

🪶 Action: Observe. Do not hedge yet. Bluff is still unfolding. Watch for VVIX acceleration + 9D/3M flattening.


⚡️ Stage 2: Flush Completion (Trigger Window)

  • VIX: Attempts a marginal new low or makes a shallow wick—fails to break down cleanly.
  • VVIX/VIX: Hits or overshoots 6.9, starts showing sharp upward slope.
  • VIX 9D/3M Ratio: Accelerates upward rapidly, front-end vol being bid hard.
  • Breadth: Sudden deterioration; Mag7 begins to look heavy or unstable intraday.

🧠 Action: Begin scaling into the blended hedge strategy. This is your inflection zone. Be early, not late.


🔥 Stage 3: Vol Ignition (Feedback Loop Engaged)

  • VIX: Spikes decisively, confirming regime change.
  • VVIX/VIX: Pulls back slightly afte
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