Sonny
Sonny
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Sonny

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Full time trader and investor specializing in Elliot Wave Theory, market psychology and macro cycles.

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Sonny
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ETH looks close to topping here with a complete 5 wave impulse - $3900 is a huge level and highly unlikely to smash straight through. Gunna take time to work through the supply here, especially after such a big move.


We should start to see rotation out of large caps now, moving downstream into lower cap altcoins. ETH consolidation here is very healthy and allows altcoins to rally!


ETHBTC has also hit my target - HTF point of control - indicating BTC outperformance is likely now in the short term. I don't think this is bearish for altcoins to be clear. Stable consolidation at these levels this week is exactly what altcoins need as the rotation kicks in.


The next time to load up on altcoins will be around August 9th imho

ETH looks close to topping here with a complete 5 wave impulse - $3900 is a huge level and highly unlikely to smash straight through. Gunna take ti...ETH looks close to topping here with a complete 5 wave impulse - $3900 is a huge level and highly unlikely to smash straight through. Gunna take ti...
Sonny
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BTC LTF update


Sub Wave 4 looks complete imho. There is a lot of Fib confluence around $124-127k so it could be a sticky area where we see the next correction and consolidation

BTC LTF update
Sonny
Public Post

VIX signals and hedging strategy checklist



Stage 1: Compression (Bluff Active)

  • VIX: Grinding lower, near recent lows.
  • VVIX/VIX: Rising toward 6.9 but not yet breaking out.
  • VIX 9D/3M Ratio: Creeping higher from a low base, but not accelerating yet.
  • RSP/IWM: Rolling over; breadth weakening, but not collapsing.

🪶 Action: Observe. Do not hedge yet. Bluff is still unfolding. Watch for VVIX acceleration + 9D/3M flattening.


⚡️ Stage 2: Flush Completion (Trigger Window)

  • VIX: Attempts a marginal new low or makes a shallow wick—fails to break down cleanly.
  • VVIX/VIX: Hits or overshoots 6.9, starts showing sharp upward slope.
  • VIX 9D/3M Ratio: Accelerates upward rapidly, front-end vol being bid hard.
  • Breadth: Sudden deterioration; Mag7 begins to look heavy or unstable intraday.

🧠 Action: Begin scaling into the blended hedge strategy. This is your inflection zone. Be early, not late.


🔥 Stage 3: Vol Ignition (Feedback Loop Engaged)

  • VIX: Spikes decisively, confirming regime change.
  • VVIX/VIX: Pulls back slightly afte
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