russellclark

There are many things that make me nervous about markets and positions at the moment. This has always been the case - which is why I try and rely on key indicators to drive decisions. At the moment, things like bond yields, currencies and memory pricing say nothing has changed - so I am changing nothing. The risk is that these indicators are lagging not leading - but they have managed to get me here. More than indicators, the politics still seems to encourage my inflationary positioning time will tell.

So far asset prices are trading the way I expected them to trade... which is a good thing. If bond yields fell substantially, or the dollar rallied substantially I might get worried - but so far everything is moving as expected.