BraVoCycles

Crude Oil Long-Term Cycles

The 4 dominant cycles detected on the weekly chart indicate CL cycle peaks in Oct'26 and Jun'28.

The cycle troughs are expected in Jul'27 and Oct'29.

Note:

• Cycle composite estimates further out are less accurate.
• Do not infer price levels from cycle amplitudes. Cycle peaks and troughs are approximate price turning points.

ETHUSD Weekly - Cycle Degree Triangle

For a big picture context of the previous post.

Benner Cycles: When to Buy & Sell Stocks – 1875 Prediction - Will Benner Cycle be Accurate Again in 2026?

2026 is in the set of “Years of Good Times. High Prices and the time to sell Stocks and values of all kinds.”

Samuel Benner, a bankrupt industrialist-turned-farmer in Ohio, articulated his cycle theory in a book titled “Business Prophecies of the Future Ups and Downs in Prices” in 1975.

The 'B' phase (Good Times) corresponds to high prices and the period for unloading (see the original chart below). “Years of Good Times” are separated in an 8-9-10-year repetitive pattern.

Panic years follow a 16-18-20-year repetitive pattern.

Apparently, the diagram was initially compiled by Tritch (1872), but it was not attributed to him.

How Did Benner’s Cycles Work in the Last 50 Years?
Benner’s Peaks (time to sell):
1972 1980 1989 1999 2007 2016 2026
Actual:
1972 1980 1990 2000 2007 2015 ???
Benner’s Panic Years:
1981 1999 2019 2035
Actual:
1981 2000 2020 ???

Rigid application is not perfect, but allowing ±1

NDX Long-Term Elliott Wave Count on Log Scale

Here's the same count I posted earlier, but zoomed in on a log scale to show the ending diagonal more clearly. I've also included an alternate count (blue) that allows for another higher high.

S&P 500 Cycles Update

Fear is running high. My cycle analysis suggests a reversal is coming soon.

A "dead cat" bounce could last a couple of months, followed by another move down into October 2026.