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BraVoCycles
Editor of Market Twists & Turns — delivering unmatched stock, crypto, commodities, and forex analysis using a unique blend of Cycles, Cycle Price Projections, Elliott Wave Theory, plus technical & sentiment tools. With 30 years in financial markets, I help you anticipate turns, ride waves, and stay ahead of the crowd. Subscribe for real-time analysis and insights. Not a financial advisor.
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Joined on 25th February 2026
Vienna, VA, US
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Sticky Price CPI Inflation Expectation
The dominant 64-month cycle of the Sticky Price CPI suggests higher inflation heading into 2028, followed by a decline toward 2030.
Interestingly, my cycle analysis of the S&P 500 points to a market low of sorts in 2020.
Note: The Sticky Price Consumer Price Index (CPI) is calculated from a subset of goods and services included in the CPI that change price relatively infrequently. Because these goods and services change price relatively infrequently, they are thought to incorporate expectations about future inflation to a greater degree than prices that change on a more frequent basis. One possible explanation for sticky prices could be the costs firms incur when changing price.
Update: McClellan Summation Index ($NYSI)
Did you pay attention back on March 5th? Since then, $NYSI, the swing trend indicator, has collapsed, pulling the stock market down with it.
The Fed didn't surprise today!.
- No rate cuts this meeting, again.
- Now only ONE cut planned for 2026, and another for 2027.
- Inflation forecast for 2026 bumped up to 2.7%.
- Middle East risks? The Fed calls them "uncertain."
- 11-1 vote. Governor Miran stands alone in dissent.
Will the FED do more than one rate cut in 2026?
Will commodities cause inflation?
My cycle analysis of FRED's PPI – All Commodities data series indicates they will NOT. Overall, commodity prices should remain under downward pressure over the next several years.
This doesn't mean there won't be inflation from other sectors.
Retweet if you understand.
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Allow for the usual FED announcement related whipsaws.
Remember, the post-FED reaction is usually reversed the next day.
SPX Short-Term Update
What is FED going to do? I do not know. But this is what Elliott wave analysis suggests.
Stop guessing! Subscribe to get more like this in real-time, including Insightful time cycles and cycle price projections analysis.
