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BraVoCycles
Editor of Market Twists & Turns — delivering unmatched stock, crypto, commodities, and forex analysis using a unique blend of Cycles, Cycle Price Projections, Elliott Wave Theory, plus technical & sentiment tools. With 30 years in financial markets, I help you anticipate turns, ride waves, and stay ahead of the crowd. Subscribe for real-time analysis and insights. Not a financial advisor.
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Joined on 25th February 2026
Vienna, VA, US
NQ - Potential Inverse H&S Pattern
- NQ might be forming an Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, in support of the green count
- The target will depend on the exact crossing of the neckline, but as you could see from 3 assumed crossings, the differences are small
- Notably, the shown speculative targets rhyme with cycle price projections
SPX - 3 Dominant Cycles
- I already presented a cycle composite when all "reliable" cycles are included in the cycle composite
- This chart shows the three dominant cycles on the daily chart
- 15W and 24W have already curled down, and 37W cycle will roll over in a few days.
- When all three point in the same direction, we get sharper price movement
- Of course, there are several other shorter and longer cycles that matter but these are most important ones
Warsh's first Fed meeting: a regime change on two fronts at once (Repost from X)
The Fed held rates at 3.5%–3.75% today — a fourth straight hold. But the hold buried the real story. Kevin Warsh used his debut to signal a hawkish turn AND rewire how the Fed talks to markets.
The hawkish surprise. Trump appointed Warsh to cut. Instead, the committee signaled a hike is ahead — nearly every member now expects to hike or hold, with only one official penciling a cut this year. The driver: inflation from the Iran war, with May CPI at 4.2%. Median dot now sees rates at 3.8% by year-end — implying one hike, then a long hold.
"Regime change," literally. Warsh announced five task forces to rethink core areas of monetary policy — communications, the balance sheet, productivity & jobs, and inflation frameworks. The charge: "start with first principles, ask hard questions... propose next steps." He'd promised regime change. Today he meant it.
No forward guidance. This is the big one for traders. Warsh s