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Maybe the short TLT trade is done?

2026-09-07T07:41:38.415Z

Maybe the short TLT trade is done?

looking for BTC to top this week around 89k before reversing into October. We are now in the orange QIM time zone which means the trend has firmly entered the maturity phase of the move. That means it is at the final stages and now moving towards resolution (red) and ultimately reset (white). I did not take the long trade because frankly there are much stronger trades to be had right now and being bullish BTC on HTF with this corrective structure and while global liquidity contracts makes no tactical/strategical sense to me.

2026-09-07T02:21:28.729Z

looking for BTC to top this week around 89k before reversing into October. We are now in the orange QIM time zone which means the trend has firmly entered the maturity phase of the move. That means it is at the final stages and now moving towards resolution (red) and ultimately reset (white). I did not take the long trade because frankly there are much stronger trades to be had right now and being bullish BTC on HTF with this corrective structure and while global liquidity contracts makes no tactical/strategical sense to me.

VXX EW Counts Possibilities · After two fake mini breakouts, VXX continued to subdivide lower. · There are no reliable signs of a pending reversal. · Need to see sustained breakouts of trendline resistances. · The chart shows two possible EW counts: 1. Black – VXX moves in 5 waves, and 2. Green – VXX moves in 3 waves; both patterns have been observed in the past. · The green count implies that VXX completed 5 waves down and should reverse, but it has only had a meager bounce in 3 waves so far. · The black count can be completed with one more micro wave down. · But keep in mind that one or two sub-waves could keep extending, and any assumed count can’t be considered completed until it is confirmed by a strong counter-trend move.

2026-09-06T19:13:11.854Z

VXX EW Counts Possibilities · After two fake mini breakouts, VXX continued to subdivide lower. · There are no reliable signs of a pending reversal. · Need to see sustained breakouts of trendline resistances. · The chart shows two possible EW counts: 1. Black – VXX moves in 5 waves, and 2. Green – VXX moves in 3 waves; both patterns have been observed in the past. · The green count implies that VXX completed 5 waves down and should reverse, but it has only had a meager bounce in 3 waves so far. · The black count can be completed with one more micro wave down. · But keep in mind that one or two sub-waves could keep extending, and any assumed count can’t be considered completed until it is confirmed by a strong counter-trend move.

Sunday AMA, Cycles, My New Theory, and Oil Charts Hey everyone There are a ton of questions scattered all over in different posts and threads. I apologize. The way my brain works, that is so overwhelming to me so what I am going to do each Sunday is open up this for everyone to ask questions. I will answer directly here. ˆ I had a REALLY strange night last night due to lack of sleep and did some really bizarre work in terms of confirming Bitcoin TA, working on my new strange theory that I am slowly revealing more, and then recognizing the cyclicality of my own life with the post about my daughter, I dove into my own personal life cycles, Which, get this, actually fits the same 4:1 and 2:1 scaling I am seeing in Bitcoin and in music etc. so strange. I did some videos I want to watch back before I post. I was so sleep deprived. I want to make sure I don't say anything too crazy before I publish it lol feel free to ask questions all day. I will stop in and out throughout the day I am probably going to go to the car dealership and buy a new car. I gotta put like $6K into mine and I hate putting money into a car, I'd rather just upgrade I was trying to think ahead and though maybe I will look at the oil chart to see if I should go EV so I have a bunch of really cool oil charts coming that show a monster run I even use my fractal stuff to show an 8-period displaced Gold chart over Oil to show that a massive, Gold-like run is coming any day such a think more than likely will indeed cause a recession or be a major recession signal, so this really does coincide with a topping stock market and Bitcoin

2026-09-06T15:03:02.823Z

Sunday AMA, Cycles, My New Theory, and Oil Charts Hey everyone There are a ton of questions scattered all over in different posts and threads. I apologize. The way my brain works, that is so overwhelming to me so what I am going to do each Sunday is open up this for everyone to ask questions. I will answer directly here. ˆ I had a REALLY strange night last night due to lack of sleep and did some really bizarre work in terms of confirming Bitcoin TA, working on my new strange theory that I am slowly revealing more, and then recognizing the cyclicality of my own life with the post about my daughter, I dove into my own personal life cycles, Which, get this, actually fits the same 4:1 and 2:1 scaling I am seeing in Bitcoin and in music etc. so strange. I did some videos I want to watch back before I post. I was so sleep deprived. I want to make sure I don't say anything too crazy before I publish it lol feel free to ask questions all day. I will stop in and out throughout the day I am probably going to go to the car dealership and buy a new car. I gotta put like $6K into mine and I hate putting money into a car, I'd rather just upgrade I was trying to think ahead and though maybe I will look at the oil chart to see if I should go EV so I have a bunch of really cool oil charts coming that show a monster run I even use my fractal stuff to show an 8-period displaced Gold chart over Oil to show that a massive, Gold-like run is coming any day such a think more than likely will indeed cause a recession or be a major recession signal, so this really does coincide with a topping stock market and Bitcoin

This Week's Newsletter is out. - Bobby -

2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z

This Week's Newsletter is out. - Bobby -

UPDATE: altcoin gems target 20-50% 💎 ----------- ----------- ----------- $SEI Buat yang kemarin req $SEI ? sini saya buatkan lagi, ternyata bulan kemarin $SEI tidak perform sama sekali tidak. Dan juatru downtrend sekali lagi, sempat naik dikit tapi berujung gagal. Saat ini, $SEI sudah sangat terdiskon mirip $SUI cuma $SUI dapat naik sedangkan $SEI belum. Jika mau konfirmasi kaya $UNI ? bisa beli $SEI jika sudah breakout di atas 0.049-0.050 maka $SUI akan lanjut naik. Jika mau beli saat ini ? boleh (DCA) dikit aja dulu biar ada barang.

2026-09-06T06:41:06.711Z

UPDATE: altcoin gems target 20-50% 💎 ----------- ----------- ----------- $SEI Buat yang kemarin req $SEI ? sini saya buatkan lagi, ternyata bulan kemarin $SEI tidak perform sama sekali tidak. Dan juatru downtrend sekali lagi, sempat naik dikit tapi berujung gagal. Saat ini, $SEI sudah sangat terdiskon mirip $SUI cuma $SUI dapat naik sedangkan $SEI belum. Jika mau konfirmasi kaya $UNI ? bisa beli $SEI jika sudah breakout di atas 0.049-0.050 maka $SUI akan lanjut naik. Jika mau beli saat ini ? boleh (DCA) dikit aja dulu biar ada barang.

UPDATE: altcoin gems target 20-50% 💎 ----------- ----------- ----------- $ALGO atau Algorand Jujur ini koin yang sudah sangat lawas, pasokan token 10B saat ini udah unlcok 9B sudah hampir seluruh token ke unlock. Saya tidak melihat akumulasi whales disini, tapi klo kita lihat secara chart ? $ALGO masih bearish trenline !! tapi gpp, jika tertarik ? beli spot sedikit harusnya gak masalah. $ALGO terlihat membuat pola double bottom. Jika ? ini bottom dari $ALGO ? lumayan ada upside naik ke harga sebelum wick 10:10 di range: 0.15-0.20. Boleh beli $ALGO sedikit saja (Spot). Note: Mau req altcoin lainya ? komen aja di postingan ini akan saya timpa

2026-09-06T06:40:43.474Z

UPDATE: altcoin gems target 20-50% 💎 ----------- ----------- ----------- $ALGO atau Algorand Jujur ini koin yang sudah sangat lawas, pasokan token 10B saat ini udah unlcok 9B sudah hampir seluruh token ke unlock. Saya tidak melihat akumulasi whales disini, tapi klo kita lihat secara chart ? $ALGO masih bearish trenline !! tapi gpp, jika tertarik ? beli spot sedikit harusnya gak masalah. $ALGO terlihat membuat pola double bottom. Jika ? ini bottom dari $ALGO ? lumayan ada upside naik ke harga sebelum wick 10:10 di range: 0.15-0.20. Boleh beli $ALGO sedikit saja (Spot). Note: Mau req altcoin lainya ? komen aja di postingan ini akan saya timpa

Congratulations to Slice Weekend Chart Club subscribers 🎯 We nailed the AAPL bounce play. Price never traded below our entry-day, and our target hit just 13 trading days later. Quick setup. Tight stop. Target delivered beautifully. 📈 We’re still tracking 20 excellent setups - full analysis video will be uploaded today.

2026-09-05T21:15:44.234Z

Congratulations to Slice Weekend Chart Club subscribers 🎯 We nailed the AAPL bounce play. Price never traded below our entry-day, and our target hit just 13 trading days later. Quick setup. Tight stop. Target delivered beautifully. 📈 We’re still tracking 20 excellent setups - full analysis video will be uploaded today.

DXY Starting To Look Dangerous To Risk Assets The DXY higher timeframes are very bullish iMO This could be the start of something big also shows some evidence that the bear market in BTC really hasn't even started tends to suggest the C/Y wave is about to start. Or worse, a wave 3

2026-09-04T13:04:51.707Z

DXY Starting To Look Dangerous To Risk Assets The DXY higher timeframes are very bullish iMO This could be the start of something big also shows some evidence that the bear market in BTC really hasn't even started tends to suggest the C/Y wave is about to start. Or worse, a wave 3

Zoom call tonight: Details to follow 4th September 2026

2026-09-04T11:41:08.039Z

Zoom call tonight: Details to follow 4th September 2026

SPX Cycle Targets SPX is also at a critical juncture like NDX, it must go down essentially immediately to preserve the downside targets Actually, on a closing-price basis it already generated an 8td upside target of 7800+

2026-09-04T01:44:30.292Z

SPX Cycle Targets SPX is also at a critical juncture like NDX, it must go down essentially immediately to preserve the downside targets Actually, on a closing-price basis it already generated an 8td upside target of 7800+

QQQ Max Pain for Friday If market makers can control things fully, QQQ should close about 710 on Friday Does this work? It often does (approximately), but not always

2026-09-04T01:22:52.423Z

QQQ Max Pain for Friday If market makers can control things fully, QQQ should close about 710 on Friday Does this work? It often does (approximately), but not always

Robinhood stock, HOOD +60% since my Slice Chart Club entry in May. 🔥 ⚪️ Entries 🟢 Targets 🔴 Stops 20 active swing setups currently being covered 📈

2026-09-03T16:30:24.049Z

Robinhood stock, HOOD +60% since my Slice Chart Club entry in May. 🔥 ⚪️ Entries 🟢 Targets 🔴 Stops 20 active swing setups currently being covered 📈

So Close on mobile for stop buys haven’t been entered yet I was stopped out of ETH short right away. Which is why I left tight BTC hedge short stopped Primary BTC short still open but at risk looks like it is gonna break out We should see $88-89k fast Can’t See the chart well enough but the stop buys should work

2026-09-03T15:58:20.212Z

So Close on mobile for stop buys haven’t been entered yet I was stopped out of ETH short right away. Which is why I left tight BTC hedge short stopped Primary BTC short still open but at risk looks like it is gonna break out We should see $88-89k fast Can’t See the chart well enough but the stop buys should work

IMPORTANT UPDATE - If Japan doesn't stop the FX intervention on the JPY at USDJPY 155 the chances they trigger a spike in volatility are significant

2026-09-03T11:19:12.566Z

IMPORTANT UPDATE - If Japan doesn't stop the FX intervention on the JPY at USDJPY 155 the chances they trigger a spike in volatility are significant

SPX Technical Analysis 1. The August peak was accompanied by notable divergences in the McClellan Summation Index ($NYSI) and RSI. 2. $NYSI, the swing trend indicator, is still pointing downward. 3. After breaking below the middle Keltner and the June high technical support with a doji candle, SPX bounced back to the middle Keltner. 4. This was a sort of mini bear trap. 5. Ideally, the next target is still the lower Keltner and the 50D MA. 6. Convincingly above the middle Keltner, SPX could target the upper Keltner.

2026-09-03T00:35:53.595Z

SPX Technical Analysis 1. The August peak was accompanied by notable divergences in the McClellan Summation Index ($NYSI) and RSI. 2. $NYSI, the swing trend indicator, is still pointing downward. 3. After breaking below the middle Keltner and the June high technical support with a doji candle, SPX bounced back to the middle Keltner. 4. This was a sort of mini bear trap. 5. Ideally, the next target is still the lower Keltner and the 50D MA. 6. Convincingly above the middle Keltner, SPX could target the upper Keltner.

YWR Symposium: The New Fed

2026-09-02T19:42:45.051Z

A review of Warsh style policy, what he’s trying to do, but can’t really say, and why (in my view) the stock market can still go higher. Our own YWR economic symposium from Montana. Like Jackson Hole but better! Thank you , , , , and many others for tuning into my live video! Join me for my next live video in the app.

XLI Cycles XLI is oversold on the daily chart Daily chart cycles indicate it is due for a bounce My guess is that it needs a B up and a C down into Q4'26 Not oversold on the weekly, which shows a cycle trough in Q2'27, shared with the daily chart composite At this point, it is not clear whether the Q2'27 cycle trough will be a higher or a lower low.

2026-09-02T17:32:30.663Z

XLI Cycles XLI is oversold on the daily chart Daily chart cycles indicate it is due for a bounce My guess is that it needs a B up and a C down into Q4'26 Not oversold on the weekly, which shows a cycle trough in Q2'27, shared with the daily chart composite At this point, it is not clear whether the Q2'27 cycle trough will be a higher or a lower low.

Long PANW - HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE. Earnings were great but they do like to smash it down after earnings. As long as it does not break below impulse gate in blue at 314 I'm bullish. on the daily We are in the QIM time zone where a reversal can be expected. and Price remains above impulse gate so still looks good to push over the coming weeks.

2026-09-02T13:41:50.635Z

Long PANW - HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE. Earnings were great but they do like to smash it down after earnings. As long as it does not break below impulse gate in blue at 314 I'm bullish. on the daily We are in the QIM time zone where a reversal can be expected. and Price remains above impulse gate so still looks good to push over the coming weeks.

SPX Technical Analysis § The August peak was accompanied by notable divergences in the McClellan Summation Index ($NYSI) and RSI. § $NYSI, the swing trend indicator, is still pointing downward. § SPX gapped below the middle Keltner again and the June high technical support, which is short-term bearish; It closed the August gap. § The next targets are the lower Keltner line and the 50-day moving average. § It formed a doji on today, but since it is in a downtrend, it can be considered a pause before continuation down.

2026-09-02T00:35:41.559Z

SPX Technical Analysis § The August peak was accompanied by notable divergences in the McClellan Summation Index ($NYSI) and RSI. § $NYSI, the swing trend indicator, is still pointing downward. § SPX gapped below the middle Keltner again and the June high technical support, which is short-term bearish; It closed the August gap. § The next targets are the lower Keltner line and the 50-day moving average. § It formed a doji on today, but since it is in a downtrend, it can be considered a pause before continuation down.

I Want To Follow You On X! I really appreciate the loyalty and support you all give me. I would like to follow you back to engage with you and get to know you on there. here is a link to a thread. you can reply there to let me know who you are and I'll follow back! https://x.com/TonySeverinoCMT/status/2094877860372546034?s=20

2026-09-01T20:01:08.782Z

I Want To Follow You On X! I really appreciate the loyalty and support you all give me. I would like to follow you back to engage with you and get to know you on there. here is a link to a thread. you can reply there to let me know who you are and I'll follow back! https://x.com/TonySeverinoCMT/status/2094877860372546034?s=20

Advancers-Decliners Only Energy and Consumer Staples sectors have positive breadth, the latter just barely I could not call this bullish

2026-09-01T17:42:00.411Z

Advancers-Decliners Only Energy and Consumer Staples sectors have positive breadth, the latter just barely I could not call this bullish

IMPORTANT - Those of you who followed these trade ideas should start considering taking profits

2026-09-01T16:23:32.798Z

IMPORTANT - Those of you who followed these trade ideas should start considering taking profits

YWR: A stock idea from God

2026-09-01T16:12:45.280Z

I didn’t want to go to my mom’s boring Church event. But I said I would. It was an evening talk about home health care for the elderly. But I’d promised I’d go early and help set up chairs. Now I’m glad I helped out with the church event. The talk was more interesting than I expected. And I think God rewarded me with a stock idea. TL/DR: Healthcare costs are exploding and you will likely die in your home with a nurse. Not go to a nursing home. But there is a good stock to play this. A nurse from a local hospice provider (healthcare at home when you are dying) had come to speak to the elderly at the church about the new trend in ‘palliative care’; low acuity health care at home. She was speaking to 30 elderly in a church hall with everyone sitting in rows of folding chairs. In the rear of the room there was a table with snacks people had brought. It turns out if you are homebound and have 2 co-morbidities Medicare will pay for nurses to visit you. This is ‘palliative care’. And it is growing quickly. Our nurse assured us everyone in the room would qualify. The nurses check in on patients in their home and help manage the mix of drugs, doctors and tests these patients have accumulated across their different ailments. This firm’s local palliative care practice had grown from 40 patients 4 years ago to over 200. The nurse who was presenting spoke well and her anecdotes about what she sees everyday visiting patients helped explain the challenge and why palliative care is growing quickly. What often happens is a patient goes to their primary physician and gets referred to various specialists for different ailments along the way. Each specialist recommends their own drugs and tests. ‘Take this and this 2/day and check in for a blood test every 3 months’. These prescriptions and tests accumulate. The palliative care nurse comes to the patient’s home and sees the overall picture. She also sees where the patient lives and how well they can move around the house. And often she can make judgements to reduce some of the pills and tests the patient is taking. ‘I think you can stop taking this, and your breathing is improving so take this test every 6 months instead of 3’. The nurse can give sensible advice from seeing the whole picture on a regular basis, which the individual specialists cannot. She can also prescribe specialised home health services. “I think you need some physio.” or, “you need speech therapy.” As the talk unfolded and the questions from the elderly started I realised the following: #1 Home health care could be a better model To me and everyone else in the room listening to this palliative care sounded highly appealing. I can see why it is growing. A sensible nurse comes to your house, ‘checks in on you’ and has a normal human conversation about how you are feeling, all the drugs you are taking, which of your problems are getting better and which are getting worse and need help. Effectively, a medical advisor. It also came up that in the meeting that in this town getting access to a primary care physician was challenging. The town has been growing rapidly and there aren’t enough doctors. The nurse explained that some or her patients are using palliative care as their primary healthcare. And another massive realisation. #2 These nurses are also financial advisors. What I noticed from the Q&A from the elderly in the room. Nobody knows what insurance and medicare will pay for and what it won’t. It is a confusing maze to them. The nurses (or at least this nurse) had a very good understanding of anything related to Medicare; what was covered and what additional services she could prescribe. She knew details like ‘Medicare will only cover this for 15 days, so let’s hold off on this. We don’t want to burn up our 15 days right now.” And related to this. #3 You will die at home. Nobody/few can pay for nursing homes anymore. The costs are going through the roof. What the elderly are realising is their insurance plans didn’t cover nursing homes, or for only 4 years, or there is no availability in their town, or they can’t afford to pay for it out of pocket. In this town the nursing home capacity was declining. There used to be 3 nursing homes, but 1 just closed. The message from the nurse was the future trend is you will die in your home with your family taking care of you combined with hospice care. #4 The company this nurse worked for might be a good investment. The nurse worked for a subsidiary of Pennant Group ($PNTG) which specialises in hospice and home health care. Q2 2026 earnings grew +20%. Pennant acquires local hospice businesses and provides backend services while letting the local business operate under their own name with their own management. Healthcare is not my specialty, and likely I’m missing important details, but here is what looks interesting. Investment Case Basics #1 The elderly are a growing demographic. It’s not massive tailwind, but the elderly will grow 1.1% year through 2050 and expand to 22.8% of the population by 2050. #2 The home health care market grows faster The rising cost of healthcare, and lack of nursing home capacity is forcing patients to turn to home healthcare as an alternative, especially for end of life care. PWC expects home healthcare to grow at a 7.7% CAGR. A key forcing function for home healthcare is that nursing home capacity is flat/declining. From 2019-2024 effective nursing home capacity declined by 5%. #3 Patients prefer home healthcare to doctor visits. #4 Pennant Group super charges this growth by making acquisitions and consolidating a fragmented market. Pennant has made 92 acquisitions since 2020.They have expanded across the Western US, are building out the Southeast and recently got a toehold into the Northeast with their equity stake in Hartford Health. #5 The decentralised model works well for this industry. Pennant touts it, and this nurse confirmed it. Pennant largely lets these local healthcare businesses manage themselves. What they and I realise is customer acquisition is highly localised through referrals and community groups. Pennant needs to have local business CEO’s and nurses who like where they work and fit in well with the community. They need strong relationships with the local doctors, hospitals and churches. It can’t be too corporatey. This isn’t like selling Coca-Cola where you ram a commoditised product down the consumer’s throat. These practices are built up carefully through relationships. So Pennant, the mega corp, sits in the background watching the numbers, and providing the technology, while the nurses go out to the churches and tell how they work for a small town business they like, which is flexible and part of the community. It’s a good combo, and it works well for this industry. #6 Pennant is growing like a weed Earnings were hit during COVID, but since 2023 Pennant has really got its feet under it and the growth is coming through. The Negatives: Again, I don’t know healthcare services well, especially all the nuances of Medicare, but here are some general things to note. Pennant Group is already an expensive stock. It is trading on 23x 2027 consensus estimated EPS ($1.64). So the growth has not gone unnoticed by the market, but this trend in home healthcare seems massive. There are no strong network effects. It’s a roll up platform of local home healthcare agencies. There are some synergies when Pennant buys specialty care businesses which they can plug into their home health care customer base, but this is not an exchange. The biggest customer is Medicare. There might be 10’s of thousands of patients, but Medicare is the payer. And Medicare is trying to control costs and crack down on fraud in the home health industry. So even though Medicare sees home health as a future trend to reduce the cost of caring for the elderly, they are trying to limit the size of the yearly reimbursement rates. The fraud crack down might be good for highly compliant, publicly listed players like Pennant. The big get bigger. Nurses are in high demand. It’s a challenge to balance the rising wage costs for nurse with Medicare reimbursement rates. Maybe this plays to the advantage of the bigger players like Pennant. Palliative Care doesn’t make money. Full blown hospice care makes a lot of money for Pennant, but the earlier stage Palliative care, with the nurse checking in on you, isn’t a money maker. Maybe it will be in the future if Medicare increases reimbursement rates, but for now it acts more like a feeder for the hospice business. Summary Home healthcare and hospice is a lower cost solution to end of life medical care that the elderly increasingly cannot afford. The era of nursing homes is over. This is a powerful trend nobody is talking about because they are all focused on AI and now we have a good $1 billion market cap play on this which nobody is talking about. I feel blessed to have gone to church and learned about Pennant. Below is the historical financial model on Pennant if you want to take a closer look and try your hand at some forecasts. I just used the consensus EPS estimates. Pennant Group Historical Financial Model (August 2026) Have a good rest of the week. And make some fun plans for Labor Day. Erik

TLT Cycle Target This is the only target, just barely generated this morning but the day is not over; it can be invalidated, need to see how it will close; no other targets

2026-09-01T15:39:06.324Z

TLT Cycle Target This is the only target, just barely generated this morning but the day is not over; it can be invalidated, need to see how it will close; no other targets

Gold and silver are breaking down, and the miners are where you can see it clearly. GDXU, the leveraged miner fund, has broken under its key moving averages. That's the tell. When the leveraged vehicle goes first, it isn't the metal being repriced. It's the leverage coming out. Gold has seen a large speculative buildup over the past few weeks. Negative momentum flushes that out, and it's flushing now. The paper is unwinding, and it can move a lot further and faster than anyone expects, because leveraged positions don't get sold gradually. None of that breaks the thesis. Central banks are still buying. The debt is still $40 trillion. Every road out of this still runs through more money getting created. The case for owning gold over the next few years hasn't changed at all this week. What changed is that gold is trading as a momentum position right now instead of a monetary one, and momentum is going the wrong way. The levels worth writing down are $4,000 on gold and $60 on silver. That's where this stops being an unwind and starts being an opportunity. If it gets there, that's a buy, not a warning. If you're already long and want to protect it while this plays out, the inverse instruments are the cleanest way. GLL for gold, GDXD on the miners, and you can buy calls on them rather than shorting anything outright. Keep the size small. These move violently in both directions and they're a hedge, not a position. Don't sell your metal into this. Just recognize what's driving the tape right now and let it come to you.

2026-09-01T15:35:21.891Z

Gold and silver are breaking down, and the miners are where you can see it clearly. GDXU, the leveraged miner fund, has broken under its key moving averages. That's the tell. When the leveraged vehicle goes first, it isn't the metal being repriced. It's the leverage coming out. Gold has seen a large speculative buildup over the past few weeks. Negative momentum flushes that out, and it's flushing now. The paper is unwinding, and it can move a lot further and faster than anyone expects, because leveraged positions don't get sold gradually. None of that breaks the thesis. Central banks are still buying. The debt is still $40 trillion. Every road out of this still runs through more money getting created. The case for owning gold over the next few years hasn't changed at all this week. What changed is that gold is trading as a momentum position right now instead of a monetary one, and momentum is going the wrong way. The levels worth writing down are $4,000 on gold and $60 on silver. That's where this stops being an unwind and starts being an opportunity. If it gets there, that's a buy, not a warning. If you're already long and want to protect it while this plays out, the inverse instruments are the cleanest way. GLL for gold, GDXD on the miners, and you can buy calls on them rather than shorting anything outright. Keep the size small. These move violently in both directions and they're a hedge, not a position. Don't sell your metal into this. Just recognize what's driving the tape right now and let it come to you.

I talked about Vilas Transcore Ltd below at 352. It is still there ... But I just visited AI Concall summary and am delighted to know they have expanded capacity by 3x and also started new products. --Go through the AI Summary at Screener...read it...Want to buy or not....read it... Apart from that what catch my eye was in point 2. and part C, they say , C) HV Bushings – new entity (noteworthy strategic move) Announced incorporation of a new entity to manufacture HV bushings 12 kV to 400 kV . Vilas Transcore will hold 25% initially; rationale: It is “ strategically… a R&D project ” and management did not want early-stage R&D losses to “ impact on the balance sheet for the 1 or 2-year .” Separate entity also enables potential JV/technology transfer : “ we are discussing with two or three companies for the joint venture or technology transfer .” Near-term plan/capex: OIP bushing up to 145 kV targeted first. Capex ~INR10 crores in FY27 for R&D/test labs; using a “ readymade building ” on rent. RIP/RIS : parallel trials; RIP dependent on collaboration due to “ heavy investment .” Now this Bushing is a high margin product and I think Yash HighVoltage Ltd is the only other listed and hence fetch high P/E of 74!! Do your DD and take your call!!

2026-09-01T13:41:35.648Z

I talked about Vilas Transcore Ltd below at 352. It is still there ... But I just visited AI Concall summary and am delighted to know they have expanded capacity by 3x and also started new products. --Go through the AI Summary at Screener...read it...Want to buy or not....read it... Apart from that what catch my eye was in point 2. and part C, they say , C) HV Bushings – new entity (noteworthy strategic move) Announced incorporation of a new entity to manufacture HV bushings 12 kV to 400 kV . Vilas Transcore will hold 25% initially; rationale: It is “ strategically… a R&D project ” and management did not want early-stage R&D losses to “ impact on the balance sheet for the 1 or 2-year .” Separate entity also enables potential JV/technology transfer : “ we are discussing with two or three companies for the joint venture or technology transfer .” Near-term plan/capex: OIP bushing up to 145 kV targeted first. Capex ~INR10 crores in FY27 for R&D/test labs; using a “ readymade building ” on rent. RIP/RIS : parallel trials; RIP dependent on collaboration due to “ heavy investment .” Now this Bushing is a high margin product and I think Yash HighVoltage Ltd is the only other listed and hence fetch high P/E of 74!! Do your DD and take your call!!

Stock Market Breadth is Deteriorating NYSE Advance-Decline Line (Common Stocks) has been declining since mid-August and broke convincingly below the 50D MA today. The next target is the 200D MA, which provides support for bigger corrections.

2026-09-01T04:58:59.654Z

Stock Market Breadth is Deteriorating NYSE Advance-Decline Line (Common Stocks) has been declining since mid-August and broke convincingly below the 50D MA today. The next target is the 200D MA, which provides support for bigger corrections.

Things keep developing as I expected heading into Labor Day long weekend

2026-08-31T18:40:30.197Z

Things keep developing as I expected heading into Labor Day long weekend

HEADS UP - (VERY) BULLISH ASCENDING TRIANGLE ON CHENIERE (LNG)

2026-08-31T18:04:37.122Z

HEADS UP - (VERY) BULLISH ASCENDING TRIANGLE ON CHENIERE (LNG)

XRP Weekly update Time to add some crypto! This might not be the higher low bottom in XRP minute ii against the summer low, but I think it's very close and the time to add.

2026-08-31T15:41:39.223Z

XRP Weekly update Time to add some crypto! This might not be the higher low bottom in XRP minute ii against the summer low, but I think it's very close and the time to add.

Reduce Hedge Short By 50% The way this daily LMACD looks tends to suggest we get one more move up at minimum I think today closes here or lower due to the monthly , but then the rest of the week we get the last move of this rally. The top of this short could be the biggest short trade of my career. Will continue to monitor. I just closed 50% of my hedge short for most meager profits. The profit will cover any loss I incur if the rest of the position gets stopped out it will allow me to lose no money and take the short higher if we get there. Leaving it, yet having the cost covered lets me not care about if it gets stopped or not/ These are some of the way I manage my positions to reduce my own stress levels or avoid losses

2026-08-31T15:04:17.674Z

Reduce Hedge Short By 50% The way this daily LMACD looks tends to suggest we get one more move up at minimum I think today closes here or lower due to the monthly , but then the rest of the week we get the last move of this rally. The top of this short could be the biggest short trade of my career. Will continue to monitor. I just closed 50% of my hedge short for most meager profits. The profit will cover any loss I incur if the rest of the position gets stopped out it will allow me to lose no money and take the short higher if we get there. Leaving it, yet having the cost covered lets me not care about if it gets stopped or not/ These are some of the way I manage my positions to reduce my own stress levels or avoid losses

SPY + QQQ — Key Dealer Gamma Levels The options structure is worth watching closely here because SPY and QQQ are currently sitting in slightly different regimes. These levels are model-derived estimates of dealer positioning rather than exchange-published positions. SPY 770 — Call Wall This is the major near-term upside gamma concentration. It can act as a magnet or resistance/pinning zone. Importantly, it is sitting almost directly alongside the gamma-neutral area, making 770–772 particularly import...

2026-08-31T14:09:42.327Z

SPY + QQQ — Key Dealer Gamma Levels The options structure is worth watching closely here because SPY and QQQ are currently sitting in slightly different regimes. These levels are model-derived estimates of dealer positioning rather than exchange-published positions. SPY 770 — Call Wall This is the major near-term upside gamma concentration. It can act as a magnet or resistance/pinning zone. Importantly, it is sitting almost directly alongside the gamma-neutral area, making 770–772 particularly important. 771–772 — Gamma Flip / Neutral Zone This is the approximate point where dealer positioning changes regime. Above this area → dealers move into positive gamma , where hedging generally suppresses volatility and dampens market moves. Below this area → dealers remain negative gamma , where hedging can amplify moves in either direction. SPY is currently below this level and therefore remains in a negative-gamma regime . 765 — First Put Wall This is the first major downside options concentration. A break below 765 while SPY remains in negative gamma would be important because dealer hedging could begin reinforcing the downside move rather than absorbing it. 760 — Deeper Structural Put Wall This remains the larger downside level identified by some broader positioning models. If 765 fails, 760 becomes the next major level to watch. A break through 760 while dealer gamma remains negative would represent a considerably more unstable structure. SPY map: 772+ → positive-gamma repair / more stable 770–772 → major regime battleground 765 → first downside wall 760 → deeper structural failure QQQ QQQ remains structurally stronger than SPY. 720 — Call Wall This is the major near-term upside gamma concentration and therefore the most obvious resistance/pinning area. A clean break through 720 accompanied by the call wall migrating higher would be constructive. ~714 — Gamma Flip / Neutral Zone This is currently the most important QQQ level. Above ~714 → dealers remain positive gamma , helping suppress volatility and encourage mean reversion. Below ~714 → QQQ begins transitioning toward negative gamma , increasing the probability that dealer hedging amplifies directional moves. QQQ remains above this level for now, although the positive-gamma cushion has narrowed. 710 — Tactical Put Wall This is the first important downside gamma concentration. If QQQ loses ~714 and subsequently breaks 710, the options structure becomes significantly less supportive. 700 — Major Structural Put Wall This is the deeper put wall identified across broader positioning models. A break through 700 while QQQ is already negative gamma would represent the much more important structural failure. QQQ map: 720+ → break of near-term call-wall resistance 714 → critical gamma regime boundary 710 → first tactical downside wall 700 → major structural downside wall What matters most The key divergence is straightforward: SPY is already negative gamma. QQQ is still positive gamma. That means QQQ is currently helping stabilize the broader market while SPY remains considerably more vulnerable to reflexive dealer hedging. The configuration becomes much more dangerous if: SPY and simultaneously QQQ At that point both major index ETFs would be operating in negative gamma at the same time. That is where a normal market decline has greater potential to become self-reinforcing through dealer hedging . Conversely, SPY reclaiming 771–772 while QQQ remains above 714 would restore a much more stabilizing options structure.

Global South — alternative financial systems BRICS cross-border payments — the move toward interoperable payment arrangements and bilateral local-currency settlement rather than routing every transaction through dollar infrastructure. China's CIPS expansion — CIPS is becoming an increasingly important RMB-based alternative for cross-border payments, particularly across China's trade relationships with sanctioned and emerging economies. PAPSS in Africa — the Pan-African Payment and Settlement System...

2026-08-31T11:33:45.444Z

Global South — alternative financial systems BRICS cross-border payments — the move toward interoperable payment arrangements and bilateral local-currency settlement rather than routing every transaction through dollar infrastructure. China's CIPS expansion — CIPS is becoming an increasingly important RMB-based alternative for cross-border payments, particularly across China's trade relationships with sanctioned and emerging economies. PAPSS in Africa — the Pan-African Payment and Settlement System is creating an African payments layer allowing intra-African trade to settle in local currencies rather than defaulting to dollars. India's UPI becoming an international payments network — India's domestic instant-payment infrastructure is increasingly being connected with foreign payment systems, creating a potential Global South payments bridge. India's local-currency settlement architecture — New Delhi is building mechanisms allowing more bilateral trade to be invoiced and settled directly in rupees, reducing the need for dollar intermediation. Russia's post-sanctions financial ecosystem — Russia is developing a combination of domestic payment infrastructure, alternative banking relationships, RMB settlement and digital assets to keep external trade functioning outside Western financial channels. China–Russia RMB financial corridor — the two countries have developed one of the world's most significant non-dollar trade and banking relationships, with the RMB becoming central to bilateral settlement. Gulf–Asia financial integration — Gulf capital, Chinese banks and Asian trade are increasingly connecting into a financial ecosystem that does not require the traditional London–New York intermediary chain. ASEAN local-currency settlement — Southeast Asian central banks are developing regional mechanisms to increase local-currency transactions and reduce dependence on the dollar for intra-regional trade. BRICS digital-payment interoperability — experimentation with interoperable digital currencies and payment systems could eventually allow countries to connect their domestic financial infrastructure without creating a single BRICS currency. Hong Kong's offshore RMB infrastructure — Hong Kong is increasingly being positioned as the offshore financial bridge between China's RMB system and global capital markets. China's digital RMB as cross-border infrastructure — the e-CNY is increasingly being tested not simply as domestic money but as part of China's broader cross-border settlement architecture. Non-dollar correspondent banking networks — rather than creating one giant BRICS replacement for SWIFT, countries are quietly constructing bilateral and regional banking links that provide practical alternatives. Alternative trade-finance corridors — Chinese, Gulf, Indian and other Global South banks are increasingly providing the credit, guarantees and settlement services required to conduct trade outside traditional Western banking channels. The emerging multipolar financial stack — the really important development is not a single “BRICS currency” but the gradual construction of alternative layers for payments, banking, trade finance, clearing and settlement.

Request a chart below:

2026-08-31T09:18:11.837Z

Request a chart below:

AMZN Cycle Targets Has a target of 270, with a potential to 275

2026-08-30T18:02:41.052Z

AMZN Cycle Targets Has a target of 270, with a potential to 275

Magnificent 7 (equal-weight) bottom has a date. Watch to find out. https://youtube.com/shorts/9iKsqwXhelw

2026-08-30T15:35:05.393Z

Magnificent 7 (equal-weight) bottom has a date. Watch to find out. https://youtube.com/shorts/9iKsqwXhelw

RUT Cycle Targets · RUT has a 24td downside target of about 2950 +/-. · If it gets there next week, it will generate a 59td cycle downside target and possibly also one for the 79td cycle.

2026-08-29T23:51:32.762Z

RUT Cycle Targets · RUT has a 24td downside target of about 2950 +/-. · If it gets there next week, it will generate a 59td cycle downside target and possibly also one for the 79td cycle.

SPX Technical Analysis 101 1. The August peak was accompanied by notable divergences in the McClellan Summation Index ($NYSI) and RSI. 2. SPX reversed from outside the Keltner Channel and bounced off the middle Keltner line and June's high technical support. 3. The bounce was likely completed on Friday, with RSI curling down from the 60 range, which is typical for bounces. 4. SPX should retest the support mentioned in point 2 above. 5. If it breaks support, the next targets are the lower Keltner line and the 50-day moving average. 6. $NYSI, the swing trend indicator, is pointing downward.

2026-08-29T21:22:10.586Z

SPX Technical Analysis 101 1. The August peak was accompanied by notable divergences in the McClellan Summation Index ($NYSI) and RSI. 2. SPX reversed from outside the Keltner Channel and bounced off the middle Keltner line and June's high technical support. 3. The bounce was likely completed on Friday, with RSI curling down from the 60 range, which is typical for bounces. 4. SPX should retest the support mentioned in point 2 above. 5. If it breaks support, the next targets are the lower Keltner line and the 50-day moving average. 6. $NYSI, the swing trend indicator, is pointing downward.

Congrats to all Weekend Chart Club subscribers who played Visa with me. Entry: $337 Target #1: $385 - HIT! ~20 active setups. Everything defined in advance. - Entries - Targets - Stops

2026-08-29T19:45:50.835Z

Congrats to all Weekend Chart Club subscribers who played Visa with me. Entry: $337 Target #1: $385 - HIT! ~20 active setups. Everything defined in advance. - Entries - Targets - Stops

UPDATE: altcoin gems target 20-80% 💎 ------------ ------------ ------------ $TWT Nahh baru juga 2 hari yang lalu di share Saya jelaskan secara sederhana ya guys !! Trading itu ? sebenernya sangat sederhana sekali jika kalian bisa baca on-chain ? bisa baca pergerakan whales dan bisa baca atensi market ? maka trading kalian akan profit. Simple saja, $TWT sudah breakout !! Ada atensi dari @cz_binance pompom @TrustWallet + ada whales akumulasi juga !! ada di postingan sebelumnya. Karena $TWT sudah breakout ? saya menambahkan jadi 1.000 token $TWT saat ini. Bisa beli kalo ada rites sedikit atau saat ini nambah lagi dikit aja (DCA). Semoga $TWT segera hits target Tp kita. Note: $TWT masuk portofolio sub x (@TrustWallet)

2026-08-29T13:56:49.670Z

UPDATE: altcoin gems target 20-80% 💎 ------------ ------------ ------------ $TWT Nahh baru juga 2 hari yang lalu di share Saya jelaskan secara sederhana ya guys !! Trading itu ? sebenernya sangat sederhana sekali jika kalian bisa baca on-chain ? bisa baca pergerakan whales dan bisa baca atensi market ? maka trading kalian akan profit. Simple saja, $TWT sudah breakout !! Ada atensi dari @cz_binance pompom @TrustWallet + ada whales akumulasi juga !! ada di postingan sebelumnya. Karena $TWT sudah breakout ? saya menambahkan jadi 1.000 token $TWT saat ini. Bisa beli kalo ada rites sedikit atau saat ini nambah lagi dikit aja (DCA). Semoga $TWT segera hits target Tp kita. Note: $TWT masuk portofolio sub x (@TrustWallet)

Bitcoin Monthly Tenkan-sen Analysis I've isolated the Tenkan-sen in the Ichimoku to show off how critical of a decision point we are at However, as you can also see, it is too early for this We will find out next month if we are in a bull market or still a bear market IMO

2026-08-28T16:55:41.378Z

Bitcoin Monthly Tenkan-sen Analysis I've isolated the Tenkan-sen in the Ichimoku to show off how critical of a decision point we are at However, as you can also see, it is too early for this We will find out next month if we are in a bull market or still a bear market IMO

I am going to long silver into the close if it gets towards the 0.618 retracement

2026-08-28T16:43:16.511Z

I am going to long silver into the close if it gets towards the 0.618 retracement

SOXX, unlike SOX, made a lower low

2026-08-28T14:17:50.621Z

SOXX, unlike SOX, made a lower low

Government bonds are becoming the new systemic collateral problem. For decades, government bonds were treated as risk-free assets. Increasingly they are now see as risk-free credit, but not necessarily risk-free collateral. If yields jump violently, the value of collateral falls. Leveraged investors then receive margin calls and have to sell. Then collateral values fall further which is creating the basis for a new fiscal-financial stability crisis

2026-08-28T08:28:39.548Z

Government bonds are becoming the new systemic collateral problem. For decades, government bonds were treated as risk-free assets. Increasingly they are now see as risk-free credit, but not necessarily risk-free collateral. If yields jump violently, the value of collateral falls. Leveraged investors then receive margin calls and have to sell. Then collateral values fall further which is creating the basis for a new fiscal-financial stability crisis

UPDATE: WHALE ACCUMULATES !! Satu wallet dengan total portofolio sekitar $1.50M (27 Miliar IDR) : terlihat mengakumulasi 100K $UNI senilai sekitar $463K. Pembelian dilakukan bertahap dalam beberapa transaksi dengan ukuran 10K-20K $UNI, melalui Rizzolver dari: @wintermute_t Saat ini wallet tersebut masih menyimpan sekitar 1.042M $USDT dan sementara 100K $UNI menjadi aset terbesar berikutnya dengan nilai sekitar $463K. Posisi portofolio wallet ini: • Portfolio: $1.50M • $UNI: 100K ($463K) • $USDT: 1.042M ($1.04M) • Harga AVG $UNI: $4.63 Menarik untuk melihat apakah wallet ini akan terus menambah posisi $UNI kedepannya. Holder $UNI wajib pantau yah !! cek walletnya disini: 👇🏻 https://arkm.com/explorer/address/0x3d4a5d448Cc875955A2775FC6e0DFAe5c33D1103

2026-08-28T03:11:26.704Z

UPDATE: WHALE ACCUMULATES !! Satu wallet dengan total portofolio sekitar $1.50M (27 Miliar IDR) : terlihat mengakumulasi 100K $UNI senilai sekitar $463K. Pembelian dilakukan bertahap dalam beberapa transaksi dengan ukuran 10K-20K $UNI, melalui Rizzolver dari: @wintermute_t Saat ini wallet tersebut masih menyimpan sekitar 1.042M $USDT dan sementara 100K $UNI menjadi aset terbesar berikutnya dengan nilai sekitar $463K. Posisi portofolio wallet ini: • Portfolio: $1.50M • $UNI: 100K ($463K) • $USDT: 1.042M ($1.04M) • Harga AVG $UNI: $4.63 Menarik untuk melihat apakah wallet ini akan terus menambah posisi $UNI kedepannya. Holder $UNI wajib pantau yah !! cek walletnya disini: 👇🏻 https://arkm.com/explorer/address/0x3d4a5d448Cc875955A2775FC6e0DFAe5c33D1103

Another Perspective On This Bitcoin Bearish Retest (If It Is One) Because I keep sensing we are looking at some sort of macro correction coming that brings down Bitcoin and the best example of that is COVID, I went back to some of my old COVD charts to see how I approached things back then. Here I have included some comparisons of the bearish retest. I have also shown of a weekly RSI downtrend line interesting lace for this downtrend line to be. It very well could be broken I have to admit, the current price action cluster is looking rather bullish and impulsive. Again, hard to tell at this very moment. the second chart is just using that same bear test of trend line to justify part of my COVID analysis the last chart is the same as the first one, just a daily look to show you that its kind of mixed. an impulse def happened. but it isn't clear if we are going to get a few in a row, or outright fail the daily RSI chart looks like we will sort of have more of a rolling top, meaning we will go higher, but have started more of a topping process. Some rallies topped out completely. Some kept having such impulsive spikes Right now, I actually believe the retest is the most dominant signal I sort of have a rolling order of things that I consider. Cycles > Psychology > Waves > candlesticks > Bollinger Bands > S/R > patterns > indicators

2026-08-27T23:47:15.057Z

Another Perspective On This Bitcoin Bearish Retest (If It Is One) Because I keep sensing we are looking at some sort of macro correction coming that brings down Bitcoin and the best example of that is COVID, I went back to some of my old COVD charts to see how I approached things back then. Here I have included some comparisons of the bearish retest. I have also shown of a weekly RSI downtrend line interesting lace for this downtrend line to be. It very well could be broken I have to admit, the current price action cluster is looking rather bullish and impulsive. Again, hard to tell at this very moment. the second chart is just using that same bear test of trend line to justify part of my COVID analysis the last chart is the same as the first one, just a daily look to show you that its kind of mixed. an impulse def happened. but it isn't clear if we are going to get a few in a row, or outright fail the daily RSI chart looks like we will sort of have more of a rolling top, meaning we will go higher, but have started more of a topping process. Some rallies topped out completely. Some kept having such impulsive spikes Right now, I actually believe the retest is the most dominant signal I sort of have a rolling order of things that I consider. Cycles > Psychology > Waves > candlesticks > Bollinger Bands > S/R > patterns > indicators

UPDATE: altcoin gems buat longtem 💎 ------------- ------------- ------------- $ONDO Saya update $ONDO ya guys 👌🏻 sebenernya $ONDO adalah "Top Altcoin" yang pernah saya share awal-awal ada Sub. Jika kalian masuk $ONDO di awal ? kalian bahkan dapat beli sata area akumulasi bottomnya. Tapi gpp, karena sudah mau jalan bear ke bull matket. Coba kalian lihat grafik $ONDO di TF (1W). Sudah tidak ada jalan lagi selain naik !! jadi besok? saya berencana mau menambahkan $ONDO di portofolio sub yah. Note: $ONDO tidak ada unlock token sampai januari 2027, jadi tidak usah hawatir tentang token unlock. Besok pagi aku masukan ke portofolio sub, sekalian aku buatkan $ONDO versi chart TG kecil beserta area entrynya.

2026-08-27T19:20:17.667Z

UPDATE: altcoin gems buat longtem 💎 ------------- ------------- ------------- $ONDO Saya update $ONDO ya guys 👌🏻 sebenernya $ONDO adalah "Top Altcoin" yang pernah saya share awal-awal ada Sub. Jika kalian masuk $ONDO di awal ? kalian bahkan dapat beli sata area akumulasi bottomnya. Tapi gpp, karena sudah mau jalan bear ke bull matket. Coba kalian lihat grafik $ONDO di TF (1W). Sudah tidak ada jalan lagi selain naik !! jadi besok? saya berencana mau menambahkan $ONDO di portofolio sub yah. Note: $ONDO tidak ada unlock token sampai januari 2027, jadi tidak usah hawatir tentang token unlock. Besok pagi aku masukan ke portofolio sub, sekalian aku buatkan $ONDO versi chart TG kecil beserta area entrynya.

HACK with an extremely bullish setup. CRWD earnings last night were phenomenal and they are showing that AI is creating a feedback loop between exposing more cyber security problems which is giving them more revenue ironically with more problems to solve. Everyone though it would be the opposite. Technically there is a big hidden bulllish divergence with price making higher lows while RSI makes lower lows. It bounce on the impulse gate in blue which is also bullish, failing to even retrace towards the golden pocket as we would normally expect. With that in mind it looks like wave 3 has now started and considering this is a macro wave 5 it could be really powerful. I will be looking at going long PANW tomorrow on a pullback. They have earnings on September 1st and if they are anything like CRWD they should be great. I ma looking for a retracement towards 366 at 0.618 retracement of this wave 1. I will be looking to close my short there also.

2026-08-27T17:22:11.907Z

HACK with an extremely bullish setup. CRWD earnings last night were phenomenal and they are showing that AI is creating a feedback loop between exposing more cyber security problems which is giving them more revenue ironically with more problems to solve. Everyone though it would be the opposite. Technically there is a big hidden bulllish divergence with price making higher lows while RSI makes lower lows. It bounce on the impulse gate in blue which is also bullish, failing to even retrace towards the golden pocket as we would normally expect. With that in mind it looks like wave 3 has now started and considering this is a macro wave 5 it could be really powerful. I will be looking at going long PANW tomorrow on a pullback. They have earnings on September 1st and if they are anything like CRWD they should be great. I ma looking for a retracement towards 366 at 0.618 retracement of this wave 1. I will be looking to close my short there also.

BUYING FNGD Same analysis as SQQQ below - additional colour is the potential for the yen carry trade to unwind into the OPEX window. We already saw a major signal last week that this is now beginning in earnest. And the idea that authorities can prevent this is frankly laughable. So the fact they are openly recognising it is a massive tell imho. People also mistook the monster move up last week as bullish when it was merely a function of negative options gamma regime. Those reflexive buyers are now exhausted and have left the underlying positioning bery unstable, a break below the PUT wall of QQQ at 700 and the volatility will be to the downisde for risk.

2026-08-27T16:59:31.205Z

BUYING FNGD Same analysis as SQQQ below - additional colour is the potential for the yen carry trade to unwind into the OPEX window. We already saw a major signal last week that this is now beginning in earnest. And the idea that authorities can prevent this is frankly laughable. So the fact they are openly recognising it is a massive tell imho. People also mistook the monster move up last week as bullish when it was merely a function of negative options gamma regime. Those reflexive buyers are now exhausted and have left the underlying positioning bery unstable, a break below the PUT wall of QQQ at 700 and the volatility will be to the downisde for risk.